The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded much of our area, except for those north of I-40, to an enhanced risk for severe weather. This does not appear to be a Tornado Day; instead, the risk is mainly damaging straight line winds, with a side of large hail, a brief period of torrential rainfall, and frequent lightning.
http://giphy.com/gifs/flowers-corgi-spring-q4YpWTDb6xEha
Just like that, we have finally reached spring!
Well that slim chance of rain is beginning to become a definite chance of seeing showers this evening. Showers and some thunderstorms developed this afternoon to our northwest, and these showers have continued to race down I-24.
That was a good week and a half of winter. Spring begins Monday.
South winds will move high temps into the mid 70°s.
We’ve taken the chance of rain out of the forecast for Monday afternoon, although expect clouds and don’t be shocked if you see a sprinkle.
Low 60°s today at BNA will actually be mid/upper 60°s under direct sunlight. That’ll change soon.
That was a good week and a half of winter. Spring begins Monday.
Some models have a few showers dripping from afternoon clouds Monday afternoon, but they are few and mostly east of us. You may see a few drops but I doubt we will see a rainout.
Those with plans today and tomorrow are in luck; Mother Nature has provided us with some fantastic weekend weather.
Current satellite imagery shows those clouds we saw this morning continuing to move out of our area, leaving us with some sunny skies.
More rain is on the way. Expect it to be off and on through the remainder of the afternoon into the early evening.
The heaviest showers and thunderstorms are expected around 10 PM or later. The HRRR times them out like this:
Skies remain somewhat sunny as clouds have begun to make their way into our area. Current satellite imagery shows these patchy clouds beginning to move into the Middle Tennessee region.
This is good news for our temperatures tonight. While we will drop into the 30s, we should stay above freezing overnight.
A Freeze Warning has been issued by NWS Nashville, once again, for Thursday morning:
Dew points/moisture will increase through the day on Friday, along with high temperatures in the low 60s. By Friday afternoon, showers will be on the increase, with a chance for isolated thunderstorms by evening. No severe weather is expected.
Have you seen any snow today? These will not have far-reaching effects, except for closely resembling the inside of a snow globe.
Good news: We are expecting sunshine by tomorrow. Any light precip from the flurries tonight could leave a few unexpected slick spots on secondary roads tomorrow morning, but no widespread impacts are expected.
Update: If you have tickets for tonight’s Predators game, a few sprinkles are possible, but the heaviest rain has moved out!
Another Forecast Uncertainty, Explained
Tonight, cooler air will push into the region. Why is this important? Any leftover moisture from this system, wrapping around the backside of the low, could result in a mixed bag of precipitation (primarily along and east of I-65). Most models, as of now, are keeping this as all rain; however, to see or not see snow/sleet will depend on mid and low level air temperatures…something we’ll have to monitor this evening and overnight.
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