Good news, the bulk of the showers have moved through and will continue to move to the east.
The iffy news is that we still have a chance of showers through the remainder of the evening. While we shouldn’t see a lot more, we still could see a rogue shower or two.
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
An eventful next couple of weeks of hockey are lining up, so hopefully weather cooperates for Plaza festivities and other outdoor gatherings. Go Preds!
Updated HRRR Model
So far, so good today. Clouds have continued to increase throughout the afternoon, but so far we have had a nice dry day. Expect for clouds to continue to increase as we head into the evening hours. You may want to bring a light jacket with you tonight if you have any outdoor plans as temps will fall into the 60s by 8 PM.
As I write this, a cold front is arriving, scattering a few isolated showers across both counties, moving from west to east. This hit-or-miss activity may linger for a few hours. The HRRR model continues to show it:
A total of 1.06″ fell in the official rain can at BNA from yesterday’s rain.
Local CoCoRaHS observer totals in Davidson County:
And Williamson County:
Radar Estimated Storm Total Rainfall, which isn’t that reliable for raw totals, but it has a good idea of who got the most rain. Green is less than 1″ and yellow is more than 1″:
Scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder will remain possible through Sunday afternoon. The severe weather threat will be next to nothing.
Our pattern will be to trend cooler through the week, especially towards next weekend. Uncertainty exists about a potential rain/storm maker on Wednesday.
Probabilities of Severe Threats
To report severe weather, use the hashtag #tSpotter to send your photos/information to NashSevereWx and the National Weather Service.
Let’s start by saying it’s very probably going to rain this weekend. And very probably a lot.
Thru Sunday night, the Euro model predicts 0.5″ to 0.7″, which is more than enough to rain out most anything. The GFS model is running higher totals, between 1.0″ and 1.1″. NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center has even more, taking the totals closer to 2″.
Today has turned out to be a fairly nice today some sunshine and highs in the 80s. Luckily, showers have stayed, for the most part, confined to our north which has been great news for those with outdoor plans.
Let’s see what the latest GFS has to show for more storms into the weekend:
NWS Nashville is in close agreement with this scenario, which means afternoon thunderstorms are possible every day through Saturday. By Sunday, an approaching cold front will significantly increase rain and storm opportunities. Most of us could see 0.5″ of total rain, with higher amounts around 1.25″+ definitely possible.
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