At 8:52 AM, we are looking at a crisp temp around 33°F with some patchy frost in shaded areas but all of this will be melted soon. A quick look at satellite this morning might reveal something of interest, denoted by the red arrows.
Well, it certainly feels like winter as we are beginning our day with temperatures in the 30s.
They’ll warm up today to 51°.
Temperatures tonight will reach a low of 30°, so be sure to bundle up and bring in any sensitive plants as we will see widespread frost again.
Those cool showers have finally moved out of Middle Tennessee, bringing behind it plenty of cooler temperatures for all of us to “enjoy.” Here’s the HRRR, showing this line of showers along the cold front leaving us :
Afternoon rain today is winding down, all rain should be gone before dark. No storm worries today, we’re good.
But Thursday October goes out like a total jerk.
At 12:01 AM we’ll reach our high temp for Thursday, low 60s. Temps will gradually drop through the day. 50s when you wake up. Low 40s by lunch. 30s Thursday night.
Below the HRRR model shows rain running off and on until around 5 PM, then a second rain wave starting around 1 AM and lasting into the morning hours of Thursday.
The NAM3 model pretty much agrees with that timing, the first round lasting off and on throughout the day, ending around 5 PM. Then a second round of rain starts back early Thursday morning and lasts to around 1 PM Thursday afternoon.
Today’s depressing cloud blanket turns rainy and maybe stormy tomorrow, you came to the right place for details.
The NAM3 model thinks light rain while we sleep then heavier rain begins around 11 AM and ends around 4 PM or 5 PM:
When the clouds thin out we should warm up to around 72° this afternoon.
Tuesday our rain chance begins, but just a chance; rain is unlikely. Weather models think most of the area will stay dry until Wednesday. Up to around 73°.
. . . but who sees clearly round the horizon, who can number unseen shrubs, coyotes, birds and streams before you come around the bend, who can discern the future.
There are only clues.
The first drops fall sometime during the day Wednesday because a frontal boundary gets stuck nearby with energy riding up it. Perhaps a half inch of rain midday Wednesday.
A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT tonight. Winds from 15 to 25 MPH with gusts up to 40 MPH are expected around our area. Be sure to secure loose objects in your yard. Fallen tree limbs and a few power outages could happen as well.
Rain has already begun to move its way into Middle Tennessee. Widespread showers will continue to move into the area this afternoon, with some heavier pockets at times.
For the next few hours, here’s the HRRR:
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