Bon Voyage, Rain!
The rain is sliding off to our southeast. We will have a chance to dry out this afternoon.
Beware of especially cold temperatures Friday night into Saturday morning! We will dip well below freezing into the mid 20’s.
Watching Potentially High Rainfall Event Sunday and Monday
Rain Overnight Tonight, Rainy Start to Next Week
Light Rain Tonight
Light rain showers are expected to move through Middle Tennessee after midnight but will most likely be out of the area by around 6 AM.
The rain will be light – less than a quarter of an inch accumulation.
Rain Iffy Thursday Morning, then a Soaker (Storms?) Sunday/Monday.
Rain should approach late Wednesday night but there is question about whether it’ll miss us or not.
HRRR model has it going all south of us.
The Euro disagrees. It predicts a tenth of an inch or so Thursday morning:
Kinda Mild, As A Few Rain Systems Line Up Over the Next Week or So
Rain overnight tonight should stay to our north and south. But we can’t rule out a couple sprinkles falling in your backyard. HRRR model shows snow north, rain south, we’re in the middle.
Models Disagree About Wednesday Night – Friday
Another system is coming but models disagree exactly when.
Quick Shot of Snow Tonight (no big deal), After That, Models are No Help.
Happy Sunday!
A quick blast of snow is possible around midnight. HRRR model below:
HRRR Model from 11am today-4am Monday This event shouldn’t threaten your Monday morning travels or inconvenience you in any other way.
The forecast for the rest of the week is a confusing mess.
Forecast is of low confidence as models continue to be all over the place as they struggle with the upcoming fast, split flow upper level pattern.
Snow Winding Down
Enjoy the Winter Wonderland (if You Can Call It That…)
Pockets of snow dot the radar this morning. It will continue to fall through about noon.
Snow is sticking to some roads. Be extra cautious if you are driving this morning. Especially bridges and overpasses that may have some frozen patches.
A Snow Update.
Initial, big snowflakes now falling early this evening will melt on above-freezing surfaces. Temps are supercold and below-freezing above 3,000 feet. Temps are above-freezing below 3,000 feet. Flakes lack the time to change back to sleet or rain by the time they hit the earth. Splat. Melt.
Light Rain (and Maybe a Couple Snowflakes) Friday Night
We have a lot to follow in this forecast. Let’s start with this afternoon and early evening. We’re expecting rain to being this afternoon, and a rumble of thunder isn’t out of the question. We’ve recently been given a general thunderstorm outlook from the Storm Prediction Center (below).
Friday Night – Saturday Morning Snow: What Time, How Much, Accumulation Potential, & No, We Aren’t Sure About Much Of This.
It’ll probably rain a little before midnight tonight, no big deal.
Models indicate snow Friday night lasting off and on overnight into Saturday morning.
What Time?
Rain is expected to change to snow Friday night between 9 PM and midnight:
Light Rain Thursday Night, (Low Confidence) Wintry Precip Friday Night
Rain Thursday Night
Sunny skies and pleasant during the day. Southerly winds could gust upwards of 25 mph.
That’s all ahead of an approaching front tonight.
HRRR Model shows a weak band of showers moving through Thursday Evening into the overnight hours.
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