Radar from 9:40 CST shows precipitation sitting just off to our west.
Radar is constantly updating, so for the most recent run visit https://nashvillesevereweather.com/radar/.
Once again, dry air near the surface will gobble up precipitation before it reaches the ground. See the large dry air slot (space between the red and green lines on the sounding) between the surface and 700mb? Yeah, you can thank the Dry Air Monster for that.
Relative humidity will drop near/below 45% Saturday morning. That’s really dry for us. Fires may be uncontrollable because south winds will blow 10-15 MPH.
Smoldering smokesticks staying in your ride and not on the grassy median would be lovely thanks.
The U.S. West Coast is getting mudslides and epic snowfalls. It’s supercold in the northeast.
Here, not so much.
Models disagree about Saturday afternoon. Most think a rain wave will pass by but dry air will gobble it up the drops before they reach the ground.
It’s cold this morning.
A good reminder that we are in the core of the winter season.
Fortunately, we stay dry through Friday.
We should start Saturday on a dry note before this system moves in.
A surface low over Texas will move eastward throughout the day.
Precipitation is crossing over the Mississippi River as of 10:30am CST:
Radar imagery is constantly changing. For the most up to date data, visit https://nashvillesevereweather.com/radar/. The website will refresh every minute with the most current imagery. Also, stay tuned to @NashSevereWx on Twitter for updates (and some humor mixed in)!
Most of the daylight Wednesday will be dry.
Around dinnertime or a little before, precip should be moving in. No storms. Cold rain most likely, and maybe some snow.
Euro Model (below) shows *maybe* a light rain/snow mix.
Temps and dewpoints will rise through the afternoon, as shown here by the GFS model:
This lifting warm front is associated with a surface low moving out of the Plains into the Ohio Valley. That low is going to drag a cold front across Middle Tennessee and set off another round of rain, and perhaps storms — some possibly severe.
Off and on rain will continue through Sunday afternoon into tonight. Light and nondisruptive, not a washout.
The HRRR model thinks the heavier stuff will arrive around 4 am. Either way, this is an early shift / while we sleep heavy rain event, almost 1″ expected. Isolated storms possible but nothing severe or concerning. Sleep peacefully tonight.
If you walk outside today you’ll see lots of sunshine with picture perfect skies. A great day for any activity you may have planned!
Clouds will move back in tonight ahead of the system for Sunday and Monday.
The calm before the storm. Literally.
The fog has cleared up. We may see some lingering clouds today.
An absolutely beautiful day is in store on Saturday. A little chilly, but it’s your chance to get sunshine before Sunday & Monday.
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