We have finally hit a dry spell that will last for more than just 2-3 days! This time, we are going to be dry for the work/school week!
Our temperatures, however, are going to be on a roller coaster.
Temps around sunrise are below freezing. Some areas are in the mid/upper 20°s.
Temps will rise into the low/mid 50°s as clouds arrive this afternoon.
Our air is really dry. No rain expected today.
A shortwave will cross by after midnight. It may drop us a little rain, but not enough to rain stuff out. Here’s the NAM3 model:
Dry, cold air is funneling into Davidson and Williamson County from the north. This dry air near the surface is zapping most of the snow trying to make it to the ground. Any wintry precipitation that actually makes it to the surface could accumulate on very cold surfaces, but the ground and roads are still too warm to allow for accumulation. Models and our local NWS office are trending towards this wintry mix ending in the mid to late morning.
Around 2 PM to 3 PM this afternoon, rain should be pushing into Williamson County and heading north into Nashville.
Rain should last until around midnight, then switch off.
This timing is from the HRRR model:
A dome of high pressure sitting over our location is going to keep most clouds and precipitation at bay for another day. As the next weathermaker begins to organize and move towards the southeast, clouds will begin to increase.
Good morning Nashville! The cold front arrived last night, dropping our temperatures into the lower 40s. Expecting a high of 52º with light winds out of the northwest at 10-15 mph.
Looking at temperatures near freezing overnight and early Thursday morning, so be sure to cover any vulnerable plants and bring your pets inside!
The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been cancelled for Davidson County and Williamson County.
There is still some rain around. The HRRR model has all of the rain moving out of our area at about 2 AM. After that, we are seeing that cold, dry air move in.
Stay Tuned at: @NashSevereWX
Dewpoints are already over 60° in Middle Tennessee. Temps are rising above 70°. A strong cold front sits out west with its eye on us tonight. The coming collision of cold, dry air slamming into our warm, moist airmass will happen overhead tonight.
It may rain this afternoon as a front moves back and forth over Middle Tennessee today. We may see a few showers pass by (as the above model illustrates), but Williamson and Davidson Counties should be rain-free by sunset. High today: 63º. Low tomorrow morning: 57º.
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