Tornado Watch Until 7 PM. ETAs & Probabilities:

From the Storm Prediction Center:

Primary threats include…

  • A couple tornadoes possible
  • Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

A Watch covers a large area and means Be Ready, conditions are favorable for a tornado.

A Warning covers a smaller area and means Immediately Take Action/Shelter, a tornado is occurring or imminent inside the warned area. read more

Details on the Today’s Straight-Line Wind & Tornado Probabilities.

A Wind Advisory starts at 9 AM and ends at 6 PM. Winds will gust into the 30 MPH range, with scattered occasional gusts up to 45 MPH. With heavy rain last night, sick or shallow-rooted trees may come down should one of those 45 MPH gusts find them. These are winds independent of storms coming later today. read more

Rain Tonight/Overnight, Storm Line Tomorrow May Be Strong/Severe (Damaging Winds, Maybe Hail, Tornado)

Rain ETA

Light rain is arriving now. On Twitter I’ll be covering the impact, if any, this rain has on the Titans game, so let’s just move on to New Year’s Eve, because there’s a lot to say about it. read more

Answering Your Letters About: Colts/Titans, Rain/Storms Tomorrow, Thu/Fri Snow Chances

Dear NSW,

Colts at Titans kickoff at 7:20 PM. I have tickets and my cousin Marbles is a degenerate gambler. Will it rain?

/s/ Fish

The truth is weather models still disagree, but if we look through them we’ll get an educated guess.

  • The Euro model thinks it might start very lightly raining in the fourth quarter, but probably not.
  • The HRRR model (my go-to model at this range, but it’s not perfect) thinks rain will arrive in the second half, not really effecting field conditions too much, but enough to make the ball slippery.

  • The NAM3 model is the rainiest (as usual, it loves to say Watch Out! Gonna Rain!). Here it is, below, from 7 PM to 11 PM tonight, delivering rain throughout the game:

By mid-afternoon we’ll have a good idea which model will land closest to the truth when we look on radar to our southwest and see how close the rain actually is to us. read more

Update on Titans Weather, & Next Week’s Snow Chance

If you read this blog this morning, the blue ink is new.

Today – Dry, Temps in the 40’s

Most of the low clouds will mix out of our area from West to East today. As they do, high clouds will be establishing themselves as a front approaches. Great afternoon to watch some college football. read more

Cooler Tomorrow, Colts/Titans Forecast, Rainy NYE, Meh-be A Snow Chance Next Week

You: Can we have bad weather Sunday night? Indy’s a dome team!

Us: Probably not. The game should be pretty comfy actually, maybe some light rain but probably not.

You: How about excellent NYE weather? read more

Nicer Friday, Watching Next Rain Event Late Sunday (Titans?) - Monday

It was not earthquake. It was lightning!

At 3:39, multiple lightning strikes hit simultaneously around Nashville causing a very loud thunderous roar from Goodlettsville to Nolensville to Brentwood. Here are some still shots of the strikes from our cameras downtown, all taken from just a few frames of video. ^al pic.twitter.com/rlTfGzeg2x read more

Wind Advisory & Rain Today; Music City Bowl Update

A Wind Advisory has been issued for both Davidson and Williamson counties from 6 AM today to 6 AM Friday.

With this we can expect sustained south winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts upwards of 45 mph. Hold on to your hats! read more

Dry Today, Cold Front Tomorrow, Music City Bowl looks OK, New Years? Ehh.

Today

Enjoy this calm weather while we have it. Despite clouds hanging around, we’ve managed to reach the upper 50s. After the sun sets, mother nature will be setting the stage for our next weather maker. A surface low-pressure system will move across the Great Plains and into the mid-west, pushing a cold front towards the Nashville area. read more

Rainy & Windy Thursday; Music City Bowl & Titans Game Updates

Executive summary, because you’re busy:

  • Nice Wednesday
  • Rain Thursday through Friday Morning: 1″ to 1.5″ Total
  • Music City Bowl & Colts/Titans Probably No Rain But There’s Still Uncertainty

Wednesday

Unseasonably warm temps ahead!

Rain, Maybe Storms, Thursday – Friday

Start Time: Thursday morning, as light rain. Through the day rain will be off and on.

The heaviest rain will come in a line, expected Thursday late afternoon or early Thursday night. Below is simulated radar (NAM3) showing the heaviest rain rolling in around 5-6 PM. read more