… and off and on rain will carry on throughout the week.
The HRRR model thinks scattered showers will begin Monday night (tonight) around 9 or 10pm:
The GFS model also thinks rain begins later this evening with a break after Tuesday morning, heavier rain Wednesday afternoon, and then more off and on showers through Friday:
Beautiful weather ahead for today:
Keep in mind that as today makes a great day for clean-up efforts, crews will be out working. Volunteers are greatly appreciated, but please do not park on tornado-impacted streets as it will already be very busy in these areas. Commercial trucks and clean-up crews need room to work, so be please mindful of them. If you park in their way, they can’t work.
We started off cold, with lows below freezing in some areas.
This will melt away as our high approaches the mid 50°s. ENE wind will make it chilly today.
Sunny and no rain for both today or tomorrow. Sunday looks to be similar.
Winds today gusting 15 to 25 MPH will make it feel a bit cooler than it actually is, even with the sun out. Winds will slacken off tonight.
Chilly mornings, though. Below freezing before dawn Saturday, near freezing early Sunday morning.
It was one supercell producing at least two strong tornadoes.
Our tornado was rated EF-3. Ratings refer to the highest damage reported; this one had EF-0, EF-1, EF-2, and EF-3 damage at various points, but it’s called “EF-3” because that got the highest rating. EF-3 damage was in Germantown, Donelson, and East Nashville. Here’s the zoom on Nashville/Davidson County:
Editor’s Note: You’ve poured love, encouragement, and support into @NashSevereWx for years, but never like we’ve felt in the past 36 hours. We love you guys, we love weather, we hate tornadoes, we hate the lost life, injuries, destruction.
Editor’s Note: Love. Give. Comfort. Respect. Hearing about loss of life. Some families lost homes, students lost schools, workers lost businesses, there will be needs. Let’s meet those needs. Together.
We’ve gotten a break from the rain for a few hours this afternoon. Clouds will stick around, so not much sun there for us today, but regardless we’ll be up to 64° for the high. Strong to severe storms will move in from the west this evening. Here’s more on that from the NWS-Nashville:
The first line in yesterday’s blog was
4″ to 6″ of rain (some may see a bit more) is the current forecast from Sunday night through Wednesday; however, timing and rainfall totals are uncertain because models disagree. We may need to decrease or increase these totals.
No concerns for any outdoor weekend activities.
Total rainfall Monday around 1″.
There is a chance for some strong storms on Monday and Tuesday with instability on the rise, but heavy rainfall is the main concern.
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