Showers continue to hang around much of Middle Tennessee this afternoon. While thunderstorms are still possible, no severe weather is expected.
HRRR, displayed below, keeps scattered showers through the early evening and has the rain completely out of our area before midnight.
Better rain and storm opportunities will arrive around midnight tonight.
Latest HRRR Model Loop
There’s that slew of rain! High resolution models are in fairly good agreement with the arrival of 11PM-1AM of heavier rain and embedded storms.
Our temps will be pretty warm through the remainder of today and into tomorrow with highs topping off in the mid to upper 80s. Make note that our dew points will begin to creep up a bit today, reaching into the low to mid 60s. While the heat will still be very manageable, we will be starting to get into that sticky feeling category.
Wednesday will be another day of sunshine and temperatures well into the 80s…approaching 90ºF! Clouds will be on the increase by evening, ahead of a developing system that takes hold late Thursday.
First things first, for today, there is a slight chance that a small shower could sneak in this afternoon or evening. While this chance is very slim, and most of us probably won’t see anything, if you win the rain lottery just know that the shower should be very brief and should not rain out any outdoor plans you may have.
This morning we were talking about a chance of rain Monday.
The NAM3 model thinks it will pass north of us:
The GFS model thinks it’ll pass this close to us Monday night:
I doubt your outdoor activities will be threatened Monday night. Even if there is some rain, it should pretty light.
It’s a cold morning as I write this, 42° at 6 AM. Not record-breaking cold, though. The record low for May 7 is 37° set in 1944.
The average high for May 7 is 76°, and we’ll come well under that today, high 70°.
Rain chances will be low as we get “omega blocked”, or caught between two low pressure systems — one west and one to the east.
Temperatures will moderate through the 70s and 80s, making for a comfortable Sunday and early start to the week. Storm chances reenter the picture by Thursday, and especially Friday as disturbances break down our nice weather.
Not only has today been extremely chilly, it has been fairly dreary. Showers have continued to move ever so slowly across our area. Hopefully showers will push to the east by this evening, but we still could see some showers into the early evening hours.
The heaviest rain is east of us, but there is more on the way tonight and overnight.
Today we were on the east side of a low pressure center. Rain was coming from the south.
Friday, the low will move east of us, and we’ll get rain from the west side of the low (the orange arrows), moving north-to-south.
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