Isolated Storm By Afternoon, Widespread Rain Post-Midnight
Better rain and storm opportunities will arrive around midnight tonight.
Latest HRRR Model Loop
There’s that slew of rain! High resolution models are in fairly good agreement with the arrival of 11PM-1AM of heavier rain and embedded storms.
Severe Threat? While it is non-zero, there could be a rogue severe storm or two, mainly producing gusty winds and large hail. Tornado ingredients are not that impressive and we don’t expect any sort of that activity…but you can never rule one out.
How much rain? About 0.5″ is a good estimate for tonight’s rainfall.
Showers Likely, Couple Thunderstorms (Mainly South) Friday
More rain is possible on Friday, but a lot of the focus will begin shifting southward…this means Williamson will have better chances than Davidson County for rain as we progress through Friday.
Watch this morning’s 12z run of the NAM3, where it shows a little spark in storm activity around 4PM in the afternoon Friday. Even Davidson County appears to get in on the action:
Between today and Friday’s rain, here’s how much the thinks we could end up with:
Roundabout 1-1.5″ of rain for Davidson and Williamson Counties. This is a pretty good estimate and is in line with NWS Nashville’s thinking.
The Weekend and Beyond
Looks nice! Temperatures will go up from Friday’s rainy-cloudy 70s back into the 80s over the weekend.
As for the Iroquois Steeplechase on Saturday, highs in the low to mid 70s will be the winning range of temps. For the first race at 1:30PM, skies are expected to be mostly clear with a north wind and a temp. of 71ºF. What is uncertain is the winners of the races, but good luck to the participants and on-lookers!
Into next week, temperatures will warm to near 90ºF on Tuesday and small chances of rain/storms will creep back into the weather story late week.
5-Day Pollen.com Forecast
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