The HRRR model predicts storms Wednesday morning around the AM commute, around 5-7 AM:
Other models think morning rain and storms are possible, but prefer to keep them south and east of us. ETAs may vary.
More Storms Possible Wednesday Morning. Another Roller Coaster Week Ahead. Cold End to January . . .
Overnight Storms, Small Chance of Hail, More Rain Through The Week
Showers Maybe Storms Late Tonight
No rain today, high 60°.
Rain comes tonight, after midnight. A few rumbles of thunder and/or a downpour might wake you up tonight; hail the main concern. No tornado or strong wind concerns.
Hail up to 1″ in diameter is remotely possible, mainly south of I-40 in the dark green shaded area. The probability of a big ole hailstone falling within 25 miles of those in the green shaded area is 5%.
Dry Sunday and Monday; Next Rain Chances begin Monday Night, Off & On thru the Weekend
Sunday and Monday: Quiet
High temperatures today (Sunday) will reach 54° with mostly cloudy skies.
Monday looks the same but with a high of 64°.
This is a nice break after the very windy and rainy weather we had yesterday.
Rain This Week
… and there is no end in sight (just kidding, but it may feel like it). A few active weather patterns look to bring the chance of rain to the area all week.
Stormy Start to a Saturday
Quick recap
It has been quite the busy morning at our three locations around Williamson county. We’ve had computers reboot mid livestream, staggering wind and rain, and internet that decided to take a break. But, most of us dodged damage with this line of storms.
Tornado Watch Until 1 PM
A Tornado Watch has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center, in coordination with our local NWS-Nashville office.
The Watch expires at 1 PM today.
The Watch was issued to let everyone know an approaching storm line may pack 60+ MPH winds and/or spin up a tornado or two.
Saturday’s Storm: a diary, an essay, and some graphics.
Someone’s Diary: The Wind
It’s stupid warm for second week of January but no one wore a skirt today. No one will wear one tomorrow. The wind’s been too strong. Modesty lives.
I saw on Twitter there’s a Wind Advisory for Friday night and Saturday. Winds may gust 30 MPH, 40 MPH, maybe as much as 50 MPH. Those Advisories talk about trees and power but when I see them Hashtag pants, make your daddy proud.
A Few Showers And Windy This Afternoon, Severe Weather Information For Saturday
Warm And Windy Friday
We’re going to have on and off rain throughout your Friday afternoon and into the evening hours. Hold onto your hats if you have any plans this evening as winds will continue to gust up to 30-40mph. Here’s the latest HRRR model, not all of us will see rain this afternoon and evening, but some will.
Rain Begins Friday, Very Windy 48 Hours Ahead; Heaviest Rain/Storms (Some Possibly Severe) Saturday
Warm & Windy (62°) Thursday
15 to 20 MPH winds with gusts as high as 30 MPH. Secure hats and lightweight aunts.
It’ll be windy Friday and especially Saturday.
Rain Begins Friday, Storms (Strong/Severe Possible) Saturday
WHAT THE MODELS SAY
The GFS model shows light, scattered showers late Friday, with the heaviest rain and storms sweeping through Saturday afternoon:
Heavy Rain Friday – Saturday, Storms Saturday May Be Severe. ETAs, Hazards, Probabilities.
Today is the Best Day of This Forecast
Windy, Afternoon Up To 63° Thursday
Gusts up to 30 mph possible.
This warm in January? Something is up.
What’s up is a cold front coming through late Saturday night. Watch the cold air race in at the end of the Euro model below:
Before the cold front: rain Friday, heavy rain and storms – possibly severe – Saturday.
Dry And Warm Through Thursday, Heavy Rain And Storm Potential This Weekend
Calm And Sunny Through Thursday
The next few days in Middle Tennessee are going to be pretty nice. No rain in the forecast over the next couple days. We’ll continue to warm from our high today of 51°, and into the mid 50s and low 60s by Thursday.
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