Two Rounds of Severe Weather Possible: Timing/ETA, Hazards, Threats, Risks.

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This morning, Will tweeted “Do not seek definitive answers. Seek info.” Wish definitive answers existed about what will happen today. They don’t. Instead we have probabilities about what might happen. This forecast is not a prediction, it’s a threat/risk assessment, expressed as probabilities and updated throughout the day. Later today information will be more precise, timing more certain, passed quickly to you via Twitter. Be flexible, stay alert. Have a way to get warnings, and consult multiple reliable severe weather information sources (local TV meteorologists are great!). read more

Dry Through Wednesday Evening, Strong Storms Possible Thursday, More Showers This Weekend

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The Kids

From the Editor: We’ve heard from several who are in the process of healing from the tornado that came through our city. Thank you for sharing your stories with us. We read them all. We’re right there with you. One theme we’ve picked up on is that the kids are also going through processes of grief as well. Maybe your kids are. Below you’ll read about a low chance of severe weather in the forecast. We know, while the chance of severe weather is low, that will cause some concern among those (including kids) who are processing last week. Perhaps you’re looking for some resources to help guide your kids through what happened. Below are some links that came our way. We hope they help. read more

Wet But Warm Week Ahead

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Off and On Rain Begins Monday

… and off and on rain will carry on throughout the week.

TIMING

The HRRR model thinks scattered showers will begin Monday night (tonight) around 9 or 10pm:

The GFS model also thinks rain begins later this evening with a break after Tuesday morning, heavier rain Wednesday afternoon, and then more off and on showers through Friday: read more

Rain This Week

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Comfortable Sunday

Beautiful weather ahead for today:

Keep in mind that as today makes a great day for clean-up efforts, crews will be out working. Volunteers are greatly appreciated, but please do not park on tornado-impacted streets as it will already be very busy in these areas. Commercial trucks and clean-up crews need room to work, so be please mindful of them. If you park in their way, they can’t work. read more

Tornado rating info and other comments, then the forecast – going to get cold, next rain event early next week.

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Preliminary Tornado Rating Map; This Doesn’t Include the EF-4 in Putnam County.

It was one supercell producing at least two strong tornadoes.

Our tornado was rated EF-3. Ratings refer to the highest damage reported; this one had EF-0, EF-1, EF-2, and EF-3 damage at various points, but it’s called “EF-3” because that got the highest rating. EF-3 damage was in Germantown, Donelson, and East Nashville. Here’s the zoom on Nashville/Davidson County: read more