The cold front that passed through yesterday has left us some dry and cool air, which continues until the weekend.
Friday, the cold front that brought us this cool and dry weather will have moved well off the east coast. Two things will happen after this. 1, we will warm up significantly (dewpoints and temperatures). 2, we’ll be watching the Gulf Coast to see when/if a tropical system will make landfall.
The cold front that caused that photogenic thunderstorm to our SE on Sunday has finally delivered the goods. Super dry air! See the deep oranges on the water vapor loop below, that’s the stuff:
No rain, mid 80’s this afternoon, with dewpoints in the 50’s, yes please:
Rain will not ruin the family wiffleball game.
Editor’s Note: family wiffleball games?
Plan on clear skies and dry conditions for the coming days. HRRR is showing little to no cloud coverage for the day.
Temps up into the 90s this afternoon. Heat index is expected 99 degrees. Dewps in the low to mid 70s are oppressive according to the scale below.
Most of the morning and afternoon will be free of rain. If you’re thinking it’s about time, don’t get too ahead of yourself. Scattered thunderstorms are STILL a possibility with a cold front passing through the area late this afternoon.
Low 90s temps in the shade this afternoon and Sunday afternoon.
Low 70s dewpoints this weekend. Heat index up to 99.
Remember, temps and that highly suss number called the heat index (anti heat index rant deleted for brevity) are for in the shade. Official high temps are always taken in the shade. If you’re out in direct sunlight, it’ll be worse, obviously.
The low pressure trough is finally leaving our area, and starting to take the rain with it. Key word “starting.”
The HRRR shows scattered storms mostly in the afternoon and evening, but they look significantly more scattered than in previous days. This means there should be some gaps in the rain, if you wanted to run some errands or go for an actual run. You’re probably sick of hearing this by now, but precise timing of when it will and will not be raining is hard to say.
Low pressure will hang around two more days, causing a “will it or won’t it” downpour risk. Today should look like the past few days – scattered showers and storms — some dry, others getting a show. NWS doesn’t expect anything too intense out of these storms, other than some heavy rain and wind, maybe lightning.
You can keep thanking the annoying upper-level low for your recent weather woes. We want it to go away, too.
We also wish there were clearly defined start/stop times. We have things to do, too.
But the weather is trolling schedules and plans
Low pressure over Arkansas is bringing us rain for the next couple days.
HRRR shows a line of showers moving in this afternoon after lunch. As instability builds, the rain blob will break apart into scattered showers and off and on thunderstorms. Lightning possible. Timing is difficult for any one location. These models run hourly, each run has a different idea.
Blame an upper level low spinning over Texas for wretched humidity and “will it, or won’t it, on and off rain and storms” this week. We can’t reliably time out whether or when it’ll rain because no frontal boundaries will be there to initiate storm-o-genesis. The result: difficult outdoor planning. Disorganized “may contain lightning” storms may be streaking by.
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