Low-Probability Severe Thunderstorms Friday

By on

It’s going to rain and probably storm Friday. Storms carry a low-probability chance of turning bad.

The Storm Prediction Center and NWS-Nashville think the biggest threat is damaging straight line winds (58+ MPH). There’s a localized flooding risk especially in urban areas. One inch diameter hail and tornadoes are possible, but both are less likely. See outlook below. (Editor’s Note: you might notice SPC has the hail risk a bit higher than NWS-Nashville. That’s a distinction without a difference, when in doubt, I like the local forecast). read more

Sprinkles Today, Cold Front + Rain Friday

By on

Showers for some of us are possible today. HRRR below has scattered showers from mid morning to early afternoon.

Our next rain-maker will be in the form of a strong Fall cold front. At the moment, the window for rain opens early Friday morning and closes pre-dawn Saturday morning. We believe the heaviest rain will fall Friday afternoon through the night. All of this should add up to between .25″-.50″. Check back on timing if you have outdoor plans Friday night. read more

Warm + Humid This Week; Possible Sprinklers Tonight

By on

Very warm few days ahead for October. Well above average highs in the mid 80s (on the order of ten or so degrees warmer than usual). Muggy dewps stick around for the week.

Hold on to your hats… expecting wind speeds between 10 and 20 mph throughout the day (gusts up to 30 mph possible!). A few clouds in the sky, but otherwise a sunny, warm day. Nothing to ruin any outdoor plans. read more

1

Mild-ish Day Today, Possible Afternoon Showers

By on

Temps and humidity are sticking to the trend today – temps in the high 70s and dewpoints in the high 60s (so sticky, but not unbearable).

The NWS said that some afternoon pop ups are possible, but HRRR shows most of the fun weather happening to our east. In their words, “Don’t think it’ll be widespread, but we’ll probably see some pavement wetters prior to sunset this evening.” read more

No Rain Tonight, Drying Out Tomorrow

By on

After a few rainy days, we enjoyed a mainly rain-free day except for some mist this morning. The rainfall is stacking up.

Rest of Week Looks Dry… but Warm

Guess what… we’re warming back up. Expect no less when it’s Fall in TN. One of these days we won’t have to rely on rain to bring us more Fall-like temps. read more

1

Rain Here Through Thursday

By on

Showers and storms look pretty widespread today. They look to hang around through the overnight hours. HRRR not showing a lot of breaks from the rain today.

No gaps in rain = rainout potential. Outdoor plans don’t seem like they will fair well. Nothing severe is expected with these storms, but don’t rule out lightning and the occasional strong gust of wind. read more