Dear NSW,

Colts at Titans kickoff at 7:20 PM. I have tickets and my cousin Marbles is a degenerate gambler. Will it rain?

/s/ Fish

The truth is weather models still disagree, but if we look through them we’ll get an educated guess.

• The Euro model thinks it might start very lightly raining in the fourth quarter, but probably not.
• The HRRR model (my go-to model at this range, but it’s not perfect) thinks rain will arrive in the second half, not really effecting field conditions too much, but enough to make the ball slippery.

• The NAM3 model is the rainiest (as usual, it loves to say Watch Out! Gonna Rain!). Here it is, below, from 7 PM to 11 PM tonight, delivering rain throughout the game:

By mid-afternoon we’ll have a good idea which model will land closest to the truth when we look on radar to our southwest and see how close the rain actually is to us. read more

If you read this blog this morning, the blue ink is new.

Today – Dry, Temps in the 40’s

Most of the low clouds will mix out of our area from West to East today. As they do, high clouds will be establishing themselves as a front approaches. Great afternoon to watch some college football. read more

You: Can we have bad weather Sunday night? Indy’s a dome team!

Us: Probably not. The game should be pretty comfy actually, maybe some light rain but probably not.

You: How about excellent NYE weather? read more

It was not earthquake. It was lightning!

At 3:39, multiple lightning strikes hit simultaneously around Nashville causing a very loud thunderous roar from Goodlettsville to Nolensville to Brentwood. Here are some still shots of the strikes from our cameras downtown, all taken from just a few frames of video. ^al pic.twitter.com/rlTfGzeg2x read more

A Wind Advisory has been issued for both Davidson and Williamson counties from 6 AM today to 6 AM Friday.

With this we can expect sustained south winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts upwards of 45 mph. Hold on to your hats! read more

Today

Enjoy this calm weather while we have it. Despite clouds hanging around, we’ve managed to reach the upper 50s. After the sun sets, mother nature will be setting the stage for our next weather maker. A surface low-pressure system will move across the Great Plains and into the mid-west, pushing a cold front towards the Nashville area. read more

Executive summary, because you’re busy:

• Nice Wednesday
• Rain Thursday through Friday Morning: 1″ to 1.5″ Total
• Music City Bowl & Colts/Titans Probably No Rain But There’s Still Uncertainty

Wednesday

Unseasonably warm temps ahead!

Rain, Maybe Storms, Thursday – Friday

Start Time: Thursday morning, as light rain. Through the day rain will be off and on.

The heaviest rain will come in a line, expected Thursday late afternoon or early Thursday night. Below is simulated radar (NAM3) showing the heaviest rain rolling in around 5-6 PM. read more

Merry Christmas! Some in Will Co got a White Christmas!

In this edition:

• Nice Christmas & Boxing Day
• Rain Thursday through Friday Morning: 1″ to 1.5″ Total
• Music City Bowl & Colts/Titans Forecasts

Christmas & Boxing Days

Sleet streaked through Williamson County this morning, but is long gone. Uneventful weather will follow today and tomorrow.

We may even see the sun. Satellite through 11 AM: read more

• Few Very Light, Scattered Christmas Showers
• Thursday Night: Heavy Rain, Even a Few Weak Thunderstorms Possible
• Music City Bowl: Kickoff Rain Possible
• Colts at Titans: Probably Dry & Not Too Cold

Mostly Cloudy, Few Raindrops Christmas Day

A few light, mid-morning Christmas showers are possible.

So says the HRRR model:

NAM3 model agrees:

These won’t be a problem, just a nuisance. You’ll have plenty of time to be outside tomorrow. read more

• Rain Unlikely Christmas Day
• Heavy Rain, Maybe Even Storms Thursday Night
• Music City Bowl: Kickoff Rain?
• Colts at Titans: Models Egg-Nogging

Cloudy – But Not Rainy – Christmas Day

A rain system is approaching from the west. It should fall apart completely when it arrives tomorrow. Just clouds for us, so says the HRRR model:

But the NAM3 model thinks enough rain will survive. If this model is right, Christmas Day will be light, drizzly, and off-and-on. read more