Executive summary, because you’re busy:
- Nice Wednesday
- Rain Thursday through Friday Morning: 1″ to 1.5″ Total
- Music City Bowl & Colts/Titans Probably No Rain But There’s Still Uncertainty
Unseasonably warm temps ahead!
Rain, Maybe Storms, Thursday – Friday
Start Time: Thursday morning, as light rain. Through the day rain will be off and on.
The heaviest rain will come in a line, expected Thursday late afternoon or early Thursday night. Below is simulated radar (NAM3) showing the heaviest rain rolling in around 5-6 PM.
Other models like that 5-6 PM “main heavy rain line” ETA, but give it a plus or minus a few hours, and check back tomorrow for more details.
Windy? Yes, especially in the afternoon. Wind gusts Thursday approaching 30 MPH.
Storms? We may see a thunderstorm inside that heavier, main rain line the NAM3 model thinks will roll through around 5-6 PM. It should not be strong or otherwise of concern.
Flooding? No. But it’ll be a soaker. Rainfall forecasts over the past few days have ranged between 0.5″ and 1.5″; the latest has us getting between 1″ and 1.5″ for the entire event:
End? After the early evening heavier rain line, more rain should redevelop overnight Thursday and last into Friday morning. Most models think the rain will end before noon Friday, probably ending closer to 9 AM.
Music City Bowl? Those arriving in Nashville Thursday obviously should be prepared for rain, but right now we think (but cannot promise) the rain will be gone before the 12:30 PM kickoff Friday. Check back before the game for updates in case the rain decides to linger during game time. Warm temps will stay around for the game. Mid-60°s!
The Weekend & Colts at Titans Sunday Night
Winds turn north Saturday, which will deliver cooler but season-appropriate temps: morning lows just above freezing, afternoon highs around 50°.
Very light rain is possible Saturday night lasting into Sunday morning. The Euro thinks rain, maybe even some no-worry flurries if the precip lingers into the pre-dawn hours. The GFS model disagrees and keeps us dry.
As for Colts at Titans: No precip of any type is currently expected, although with one system departing late Saturday/early Sunday, and another rain system expected Monday, there’s a small chance the models have the timing wrong and we could get some precip in here in time for Sunday Night Football. For now expect around 40° with a light north wind, and nothing falling out of the clouds except Colts punts and Titans kickoffs.