Sunday
A few late afternoon/early evening rain and storms should develop in today’s hot and humid airmass. Exactly where is unknown. The HRRR model (below) thinks we’re among the rain/storm chosen in Middle Tennessee.
Yesterday we tied the record for the highest recorded temperature on October 5.
We tied the October 5 record high today, 92° set in 1954.
— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) October 5, 2018
Imagine a typical summer day. Isolated showers and storms, hot, humid, etc. Now put that in October and voilà, you have today!
The HRRR model shows isolated showers and storms will be present this afternoon. Keep an umbrella and/or a rain jacket handy just in case you are one of the few who get stuck under an isolated shower this afternoon.
Summertime quality sticky and near-uncomfortable humidity returns this week.
High temps in the 80°s, upper 80°s for the last half of the week.
But will we still get cool, crisp mornings?
More humidity, more clouds, so with extra shade high only 83°. Pop up rain with maybe a thunderstorm tomorrow afternoon will scatter across Middle Tennessee. Here's the HRRR model at 3 PM, 4 PM, 5 PM, and 6 PM. Similar rain chances Tuesday afternoon. pic.twitter.com/fs8EMqMx6f
From NWS-Nashville:
A warm, above-average weather pattern will continue through next weekend. High temperatures in the low to mid 80s and overnight lows ranging from the low to upper 60s will be the result of predominant high pressure and southerly winds overhead. October looks to start warm for all and soggy for some.
Today was pretty close to perfect. Hope you got to spend some time outside! Tonight, we’ll dip down to 59°.
Warm, moist air will arrive tomorrow as our winds shift to the south (see above). Afternoon temps in the mid 80s, dew points returning to the mid/upper 60s. We’ll be noticeably warmer and stickier, but it won’t feel like summer has returned.