Warming Through Wednesday, Rain by Wednesday Night, Cold Next Weekend

I hope y’all enjoyed the glowing orb in the sky yesterday because it’s back! A cloud will not be in sight as our temperatures rise into the middle 50s.

We’ve still got a couple of Flood Advisories in effect today as our rivers are still over their banks in some areas. However, all rivers have peaked at this point. You can monitor flood stages of area rivers, streams, and creeks here. read more

About Last Night, Here Comes Sunshine, Rainy Second Half of the Week

The Past

It wasn’t/isn’t May 2010.  But it trapped people in RVs. Required water rescues. Water in basements. Roads closed, impassable. All weather is local and personal. When it is, historical context is irrelevant. read more

Rain Exiting, Tornado Threat Ending, Continued/Lingering Flooding Possible, BRING US SOME SUN

Rain ended – OK maybe a few more light rainers or drizzlers tonight – but flooding threats remain as water continues to runoff into rising creeks and streams. Be especially careful at night when darkness hides flood dangers. read more

Tornado Watch 3 PM Until 10 PM

A Tornado Watch has been issued for Davidson and Williamson Counties from 3 PM until 10 PM.

Also Keep In Mind…

As storms approach from west to east, our winds will pick up. Wind gusts upwards of 35 to 55 mph (higher within storms) can easily cause a tree to fall due to the saturated/weak roots. Again, don’t park beneath a tree that could fall. read more

Flash Flooding Concerns Continue with Severe Storms Possible Tonight; Dry Days are Ahead

A Flash Flood Watch continues until midnight tonight. We’re expecting another few inches of rain here in Nashville, so flash flooding is still a concern.

The axis of heaviest rainfall is expected to set up just to our southeast, but we could see another 2″ to 3″ here in Nashville. Rivers and streams already full of water could rise more if this pans out. read more

More Rain Tonight, Flash Flooding Concerns Remain; Severe Storms Possible Saturday Night; Dry Days Start Sunday.

Our Flash Flood Watch continues through Saturday. We are expecting another couple of inches of rain overnight. More details below.

Overnight Flash Flooding Possible

Don’t let your guard down just because we’ve got light rain on the way to bed. We’re expecting at least another inch, perhaps 2″- 3″ of rain here in Middle Tennessee overnight. read more

Details on the Ongoing Flash Flood Watch, Saturday’s Severe Thunderstorm Potential, and Strong Winds Saturday

SUMMARY

“A major flood threat will focus over areas south of I-40 this morning through Friday” [then will] “continue for areas south of I-40 and spread northward covering all of Middle Tennessee [including Nashville] Friday night through Saturday.” –NWS-Nashville read more

Flood-Producing Rains Possible, Severe Weather Saturday

[Please read the entire blog, including the editor’s comments at the end, regarding the flooding threat. First, intern “applican” Jon lays out the next few days for us:]

Summary

After a brief drying period, rain has arrived and will continue through Saturday night. A flash flood watch is in effect for the entire Middle Tennessee region including Davidson and Williamson counties from tonight until Saturday evening as the potential exists for an additional 2- 4 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts where storms tend to “train” or sit over an area dumping rain. The concern for flooding is big. Another issue that we may have to deal with is a potential severe storms Saturday afternoon. More on this later. A cold front sweeping through Sunday will bring a much needed end to the rain with temperatures remaining right around normal or just a couple degrees above. read more

Off/On Rain This Afternoon, Short Rain Break Tonight - Thursday, then More Rain Friday & Saturday, with Severe Thunderstorm Potential Saturday

Summary

We’ve had Flash Flooding this morning. More rain, a bit lighter than what we saw this morning, is on the way this afternoon. It should end tonight. Thursday we will have have a short break from rain, with more rain approaching Thursday night and arriving Friday. Additional flooding possible Friday. Saturday will also be rainy, with potential for additional flooding and severe thunderstorms. read more

2 Rounds of Significant Rainfall Ahead. Flash Flood Watch Today-Thursday Morning

Overview

Forecast totals from NWS-Nashville:

  • Several rounds of heavy rainfall are expected this week into next weekend.
  • The first round arrives this (Tuesday) afternoon through Wednesday afternoon (2″ to 4″ total).
  • The second round begins Friday and ends Sunday (3″ to 4″ total), with waves of rain coming through.
  • Total rainfall amounts from Tuesday through Monday are forecast to reach 5 to 7 inches across Middle Tennessee.
  • Some strong to potentially severe thunderstorms may affect parts of Middle Tennessee in the form of a squall line (QLCS, quasi-linear convective system) Saturday night. However, details such as timing and possible impacts remain uncertain this far out in time.

Current Weather Hazards – Round 1

A Flash Flood Watch goes into effect this afternoon and lasts until Thursday morning for Nashville, Williamson County, and most of Middle Tennessee.

Rain will start this afternoon, so be sure to have that umbrella handy. Rain will intensify during the evening commute, becoming more widespread by 4:00 PM – 5:00 PM, and continuing into the evening. read more