Nashville Severe Weather

I apologize* for the titles of the last two posts. (*not really. And while we’re here, you should tell your mother about the ice potential Friday and Saturday nights).

Evening updates in red. Everything else, you read earlier this afternoon. read more

Today’s Rain / Storms

We’ve already seen heavy rain and wind courtesy of a cold front, which cut temps by 20 degrees.

Now that the cold side passed, there is no longer a strong/severe thunderstorm threat.

We will see two separate rounds of winter weather. One Friday night, the other Saturday night. read more

Thursday – Rain Begins – Morning Low 63 / Afternoon High 63 (yeah, the same!)

6am 63 . 9am 63 . Noon 63 . 3pm 62 . 6pm 53 . 9pm 48

Showers should begin around 6 a.m.. Here’s the RAP model turning on the morning rain: read more

Friday Night

Updated data has arrived. It’s a bit encouraging compared to what we were seeing yesterday, but still too close for comfort and complacency.

One thing all the models seem to agree upon — for now — is no snow. Sleet or Freezing Rain is the threat. read more

We’ve heated past 70 today. After noon, the official temp was 75.

That’s going to change.

Thursday & Friday – Heavy Rain

The rain will begin in the morning, and should continue – mostly unabated – through Friday night and into Saturday morning. Totals will approach 3″, possibly more in some areas: read more

This afternoon, our NWS began its Area Forecast Discussion by saying:

“Forecast confidence is increasing daily about the fact that Middle Tennessee is staring down the barrel of a miserable several days starting late Wednesday night.” read more

SUMMARY. Early this week, a southwest wind will deliver warm, moist air, raising temps and bringing significant late-week rain. A cold front arrives Friday night, delivering a mystery bag of wintry precip over the weekend. If you’ve already read this, Scroll down for the NWS 8 p.m. update (in red). read more

Tonight – Maybe Some Sprinkles – Overnight Low 43

6pm 51 . 9pm 48

The HRRR model tonight doesn’t think much of tonight’s rain chances. Sunday 6 p.m. – Monday 3 a.m.:

read more

Sunday – Clouds, Maybe a Light Evening Sprinkler – Morning Low 33, Afternoon High 54

6am 34 . 9am 41 . Noon 50 . 3pm 53 . 6pm 49 . 9pm 46

Here’s your FutureCastSometimesWrong Radar (aka, the 4km Hi-Res NAM), Noon to 8 pm. Not much rain, if any: read more

Tonight – Mostly Clear – Overnight Low 28

6pm 42 . 9pm 37

Considering how cold we have been lately, we can’t ask for much better shopping/travel weather.

Saturday – Sunny – Morning Low 28, High 56 read more