Current Observations and Radar (trying something new)
Tonight – Clearing Out?
This afternoon’s storms continue to fizzle off. They were pretty mad.
Lightning:
And hail:
.@NashSevereWx happening now in sylvan park pic.twitter.com/eMjlWRA4nU
Worried About Rain Tonight?
Typical August Uncertainty
Current Observations and Radar (trying something new)
Today – Humid, Chance of Rain, Mix of Sun/Clouds – High 85°
Garden-variety summertime storms have been firing all morning to our south and southwest, getting mostly western Williamson County. These have been very slow moving, but they are drifting west and away from us.
Tonight & The Weekend
Current Observations and Radar (trying something new)
Tonight – Don’t Cancel Your Plans
We had a couple of no-quite-severe storms, including small hail in N Davidson Co and this wet microburst:
A look at the HRRR for the rest of tonight looks pretty grim for outdoor stuff:
The Weekend
Current Observations and Radar (trying something new)
Friday – Humidity & Rain Chances Return – High 89°
Humidity is back!
This summer, rain has usually come from I-24 in Kentucky, moving SE towards us.
Today, that pattern reverses.
As I write this, a few renegade rain showers are working their way NW from the Chattanooga area.The HRRR model – although possibly exaggerating this feature – shows rain taking I-24 and advancing closer through all day:
Another Nice Day, Rain Chances Return by the Weekend
Current Radar
THIS EVENING: 82° by 7 PM
Another really nice evening is ahead for tonight, with lower humidity and mostly clear skies.
Lows will bottom out in the mid 60°s, but humidity will begin to rise a bit during the overnight hours.
The Week of Nice Weather Continues
Current Radar
THIS EVENING: 82° by 7 PM
Winds will start to relax by this evening, as temperatures begin to fall to the low 80°s.
Expect clear skies and lows in the low 60°s overnight.
THURSDAY – Low Humidity & Low Rain Chances Continue – Wake Up: 63º, High: 87°
Tomorrow will be another very nice day, with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures staying in the 80°s.
A Nice Weather Week Ahead
Current Radar
THIS EVENING: 83° by 7 PM
As the frontal boundary clears the state by this evening, any small chance of rain will exit with it:
Winds will be breezy overnight, between 5 and 10 mph. Lows will fall to the upper 60°s.
Hopefully This Forecast Will Be Less Terrible
Current Radar
Tonight – Can’t Rule Out, But Not Expecting, Rain
Although we expressed uncertainty (here and on Twitter), I grade today’s “some rain” forecast like this:
I can point to the storms that formed 30 miles that way, or offer some explanation for the sunshine and attempt to sound smart. But really, who cares.
Today: Not Great. Rest of the Week: Great.
Current Radar
Today – Humid, Off & On Rain, Maybe a Storm – High: 90°
A lot of rain is piling up to our west. It’s being pushed by a weak cold front, which will arrive tonight.
Here’s what the HRRR thinks the radar will look like through 9 PM:
Some Rain Monday, Then We Cool Off
Current Radar
Monday – Some Rain, Maybe a Storm – High: 91°
A cold front is coming, which means off and on rain is expected during the day. Blanketing clouds will keep temps from soaring to 93° (where we were Sunday).
We aren’t exactly sure when the rain will start. The NAM4 model thinks we’ll see it around 10 AM: