Current Radar
The bigger system responsible for our showers today will keep lifting away to the northeast by this evening:
This will leave just a small chance for some lingering showers. I don’t expect rain to interfere with any plans tonight.
Current Radar
More rain is coming.
Overnight, the northwest side of an upper-level-low-pressure-made rainer should arrive. Here’s the HRRR’s take:
Whereas this morning we felt like the rain would almost certainly blast us and wash out the entire day, the afternoon model runs have suggested the bulk of the rain may run east of I-65 and give us a shot at playing ball tomorrow night.
Current Radar
Windy though. North windy, therefore, kinda chilly.
Clouds will gather tonight. Ruh-roh.
The opposite of Sunday.
We will wake up to patchy fog, or rain. NAM4 says: a lot of rain:
Current Radar
As dry air arrives, so will cold temperatures. We’ll drop into the 40°s not long after dark, and land somewhere around 41° before dawn Sunday morning.
Even with the sun out, a north wind up to 10 MPH will have it feeling like fall.
Current Radar
Almost all the rain moved south and east of us overnight. This should continue during the morning.
Clouds should begin breaking up after lunch. That rain currently in southern Arkansas, north Louisiana, and east Texas will be swept south of us and not bother us for the rest of the weekend. The HRRR model animates this well:
Current Radar
We think this bowling-pin-looking area of rain will arrive after dark, staying mostly S of I-40. pic.twitter.com/veqCsYJh7g
— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) November 6, 2015
Current Radar
Said cold front is pushing a line of storms east this evening.
It’ll stay out of our hair for the rest of today, though. Looks like it will be getting close to the Tennessee/Arkansas/Missouri border late tonight:
Current Radar
We remain in this pattern of cloudy, unseasonably humid weather. With all this humidity, weather models were picking up on north-moving showers today, but none of that really materialized.
Current Radar
Today the Euro, GFS, and NAM models are showing some isolated showers moving northward throughout the area. We certainly aren’t expecting any big rain. Here’s the HRRR model through tonight:
Current Radar
‘Muggy and cloudy’ will continue to be the story as we head into the evening.
Models pick up on the aforementioned showers around dinnertime:
Even if these make it to us, we’ll just see some light rain.