A few light, mid-morning Christmas showers are possible.
So says the HRRR model:
NAM3 model agrees:
These won’t be a problem, just a nuisance. You’ll have plenty of time to be outside tomorrow.
A rain system is approaching from the west. It should fall apart completely when it arrives tomorrow. Just clouds for us, so says the HRRR model:
But the NAM3 model thinks enough rain will survive. If this model is right, Christmas Day will be light, drizzly, and off-and-on.
Tonight, winds turn north. Wind chills will approach freezing.
Temps should drop below freezing shortly after 3 AM and stay below freezing until 8 AM or so. Early morning patchy fog may lay down a thin layer of ice on roads where fog settles. If you’re up early Monday morning and see fog on the road, assume a thin layer of ice has formed. Any such hazard will end about an hour or two after sunrise when temps rise above freezing.
Off and on rain will continue this morning into early afternoon. HRRR model (below) thinks rain will be gone by 3 PM:
Less than 0.20″ expected. High 47°, but tonight’s winds turn colder, and wind chills will approach freezing.
High pressure is here today, leaving us with sunny and mostly-clear skies.
Our high temp will rise into the low 50°s. Tonight’s low will fall into the upper 30°s.
As for getting out and about today: it’s a great day for it! If you’ve got outdoor plans, expect calm winds from the south with a max speed of 8 mph, with no rain for the afternoon kickoff.
The rain is on its way out.
Below is the HRRR’s thinking on today. Notice it has all rain out by 3 PM.
On and off showers will continue through the morning hours and will eventually taper off from west to east as the upper-level low moves north. Additional rain totals could amount up to a quarter inch at most.
Periods of on-and-off rainfall continue today. We could see upwards of 0.5″ of rain through midnight tonight, the NAM shows below.
Clouds will keep us a bit cooler than we have been with a high creeping into the low 50°s. Tonight’s low will remain in the low 40°s.
Today is still looking mostly dry with a high temp around 61º. The reason our temperature will reach the low 60s today is that our winds have turned more southerly bringing with it two things: warmer temperatures and gulf moisture.
High pressure continues to dominate our weather. Today, high temps will brush the upper 50°s. It’s going to be a beautiful day!
Wednesday looks mostly dry with a high temp in the upper 50°s, low 60°s. As our next rainmaker moves closer we’ll begin to see and feel those effects. Our winds will will shift to the south (bringing the slightly warmer temperatures and plenty of Gulf moisture).
This week is starting dry.
Why dry? We’re dominated by a ridge building across the central United States. Ridges are high pressure, pressing down and suppressing vertical motion key to making it rain.
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