You heard it here first – rain, rain, and more rain.
Today may be our last day to see the sun for a few days, as we settle with partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80s this afternoon.
Possible Showers Approach this Afternoon as well as A Gloomy Week Ahead Followed by Saharan Dust Entrance.
Hot and Humid For Our Saharan Air Layer Weekend
Thursday
Mostly sunny today. Rain should stay to our south, but we can’t rule out a stray shower or thunderstorm popping up in your neighborhood.
Highs will be near 90°. The dewpoint will drop from the mid 60 this morning into the low 60s this afternoon.
Usual Heat & Humidity Build, Few Weekend Thunderstorm Complexes Possible
Today
Up to 87 today, but reduced humidity compared to yesterday.
A few pop-up showers will be around, but you probably won’t get one. Maybe a few of you will. One could sprout between 1pm-10pm. A thunderstorm is possible, but unlikely.
Cold(-ish) Front Arrives Today; Then the Return of Heat and Soup-Like Air
Tuesday, Rain will Taper off by Early Afternoon
Here comes the cold front! It will bring a few scattered showers and thunderstorms to Middle Tennessee this morning. Most of the rain associated with this system fell before sunrise, though. Here’s this morning’s run of the HRRR model, through midnight tonight:
Here Comes the Rain: Possibility for Damaging Winds Today
Storms Monday Afternoon–Some May Pack a Punch
It’s going to rain this afternoon. The HRRR is showing scattered showers becoming more widespread tonight.
Timing: The HRRR likes the most significant rain coming in two rounds: the first around 2pm and the second around 11pm. In between, there will be some scattered showers.
Rain & Storms Today, Monday, and Especially Tuesday.
Rain with a few weak thunderstorms should as through lunch hour, lingering into the early afternoon.
HRRR model thinks rain and storms will hang around until sundown . . .
. . . but the HRRR model is probably overdoing it. Here’s why we think that.
Today, Summer Formally Arrives. Tomorrow, Happy Father’s Day, It May Rain
Satellite this morning showed clear skies. That’ll continue today (well, mostly):
Up to 93º this afternoon with summer-normal humidity.
Moisture will creep in this afternoon and pop off a few clouds, maybe even give us a shower or two, but the chances of this happening to you are pretty low.
Heating Up This Weekend, Stormy Start Next Week
Stormy activity heads our way into this afternoon. Spotty showers and thunderstorms with highs today in the upper 80s.
Between 1pm – 2pm is when we’ll see these storms start to fire up. We’ll be keeping a close eye on the radar this afternoon. Check @nashseverewx on twitter for the latest.
Hotter, More Humid; Therefore, Cue Afternoon Rain/Storm Chances.
Thursday
The sun is shining this morning, though there may be some clouds in the way… The more significant cloud cover and rain chances are located to our east/northeast.
The high temperature today will be around 85º. The dewpoint will hover in the lower 60’s today.
Heat & High Humidity This Weekend, Rain Returns Sunday/Monday
Wednesday
Today will feature similar temps to yesterday, maybe a touch warmer from low to mid 80s. Dew points will be a bit higher with upper 50s likely:
Showers (if they even make it this far west) will be very few and far between. The HRRR Model (below) shows a few brief specks moving through the Mid-State:
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