The million dollar question – “will it rain again today?” We’ve already used all our lifelines, so we are in a tough position. Good thing we have help from models.
HRRR model (above) is leaning towards very few showers/lightningstorms. It wants to think the line coming in from Kentucky falls apart before it can affect the soccer game.
Ongoing showers/lightningstorms will continue through the afternoon/evening, clearing out (hopefully, no pinky promises) for nighttime activities – including good ole’ Titans preseason. Things could very well change, we’ll be posting all the updates on Twitter. Below is what the HRRR model thinks will happen. A good amount of these storms will contain lightning, which is sorta (very) dangerous – when thunder roars, go indoors.
Remember when we were all SMHing over the 90° days? We were looking at August coming with the dread and Oh Noes? Well…
Just one 90°.
Humidity up to uncomfortable levels is teaming with Other Atmospherey Things You Don’t Care About to create a weekend full of so-so rain/lightning chances.
89° is the mid/late August average high.
Great job everybody:
No tornadoes in this forecast but there is rain:
Quick References:
Weather changes constantly.
Follow @NashSevereWx on Twitter for any changes to this forecast.
Fog should mix out around 9 AM. It’s not gone in the classic sense, it still exists, it just won’t be here for a long time.
Rain in West TN this morning should miss us. Models pass it south of us:
Light showers will arrive through the day as “I-24 Specials,” our term for weather that comes down the tracks of I-24 from Kentucky. The HRRR thinks these showers will not increase in intensity on our radar scopes during the day. In fact, they may struggle as they come through. The 13z run of the HRRR through 9:00 pm:
A few small, light showers are in Middle Tennessee on radar this morning. None of them local, none of them of any consequence.
The HRRR model is dry for us. NAM thinks a few barely-even-rainers could streak through. Look to the north for any shower coming down.
Humidity is a up a bit today but nothing like it was last week.
Models have a few inconsequential showers around Middle Tennessee today but none here locally and nothing that would impact outdoor plans.
This day in history: On August 13, 1881 the temperature in Nashville hit 103 degrees for the second day in a row. Eeek and gross. Today’s a good day to step outside, take a deep breath of un-humid air and feel glad it’s not August 13, 1881.
A north wind is carrying drier, less humid air into town. Check out these dewpoints today through Sunday morning:
It’s not Fall tho, so delay your PSL excitement, temps are still Summer:
But it’s OK to celebrate this Big Weather Improvement. NWS-Nashville suggested leaving your windows open tonight!
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