Someone should tell October it’s October and kick out this humidity.
Dry weather ends today because the upper high dominating our atmosphere has shifted south. Rain is possible late this morning into the afternoon.
Summertime quality sticky and near-uncomfortable humidity returns this week.
High temps in the 80°s, upper 80°s for the last half of the week.
But will we still get cool, crisp mornings?
More humidity, more clouds, so with extra shade high only 83°. Pop up rain with maybe a thunderstorm tomorrow afternoon will scatter across Middle Tennessee. Here's the HRRR model at 3 PM, 4 PM, 5 PM, and 6 PM. Similar rain chances Tuesday afternoon. pic.twitter.com/fs8EMqMx6f
From NWS-Nashville:
A warm, above-average weather pattern will continue through next weekend. High temperatures in the low to mid 80s and overnight lows ranging from the low to upper 60s will be the result of predominant high pressure and southerly winds overhead. October looks to start warm for all and soggy for some.
Today was pretty close to perfect. Hope you got to spend some time outside! Tonight, we’ll dip down to 59°.
Warm, moist air will arrive tomorrow as our winds shift to the south (see above). Afternoon temps in the mid 80s, dew points returning to the mid/upper 60s. We’ll be noticeably warmer and stickier, but it won’t feel like summer has returned.
Seasonable, cooler temperatures have arrived in middle Tennessee, FINALLY! We are looking at a high of 77º in the city as clouds being to clear out and the additional sun is introduced into the forecast.
Last round of rain for a few days! The rain-making cold front will be hurried along to the east as a surface high builds in – see HRRR below.
Between cloud cover, rain-cooled air, and cooler temps at the surface, high temps today will reach the upper 60s. Yes, you read that right!
Our overnight low will settle into the upper 50s. An excess of surface moisture, cooler temps and calm overnight winds could lead to early morning fog.
Models have the weekend looking dry. Increased sunshine could bounce high temps on Friday back into the upper 70s. Dewpoints in the mid/upper 50s.
Same story on Saturday: partly cloudy skies, high temps in the upper 70s. Afternoon/evening plans look great!
Measurable rain chances will return to Nashville on Monday afternoon. South winds will return, bringing increased moisture and warmer temperatures by the midweek.
NWS Nashville’s thoughts on the warm pattern next week:
"Temperatures in the low to mid 80s should do it each afternoon Sun- Thu...with overnight lows in the mid 60s. All in all, next week is not a washout with time in between the raindrops to enjoy a comfortably warm weather pattern."
The party is premature. Our transition to a fall airmass is currently underway *only at the surface" — aloft, summer/tropical/wet is hanging on. This jerk "overrunning" pattern means rain should redevelop Thu morning and may not end until tomorrow night. /ducks/ pic.twitter.com/NTNRaWUmzN
It’s still exceptionally humid. Dewpoints are in the low 70°s. That’s:
And here comes another wave of moisture through our area.
The HRRR model (see below) thinks rain will move through late this afternoon. The atmosphere does have energy stored up, and with a slight increase in wind shear just to the north of Nashville, a few strong storms could be in the mix. Yet the stronger storms should be pretty far north of us.
The Flash Flood Watch expired at 7 PM tonight.
Rain slowly moving east. "The Flash Flood Watch that's in effect will be allowed to expire at 7pm as the threat for flooding across much of the area decreases. However, rainfall will continue off and on throughout the day on Tuesday." —@NWSNashville
A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect until 7 PM Monday.
NWS-Nashville explains:
Models are indicating another batch of heavy rain and storms moving across the area tonight and tomorrow, and with the ground now wet and saturated flooding will become more likely with any additional rainfall.
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