Wednesday

Today we can expect mostly cloudy skies and a high of 92°, though heat index will make it feel like 98°.

The HRRR model shows scattered showers and storms beginning later this afternoon around 2pm:

read more

It looks like summer continues this week. The main story is going to be this heat and humidity.

Monday

As of 8:14 AM, it is 73°F with a dew point of 68°F. Ugh.

It isn’t getting much better than this.

The high today is going to reach 94°F. Dew points hanging out in the low 70°s. Heat index values could approach the low 100°s today. Take extra precautions if you are going to be out for an extended period of time today. Keep water close, and shade even closer – if possible. read more

Sunday

The HRRR shows some spotty showers beginning this afternoon (2 or 3pm):

Here’s the NAM3 model:

You may see a shower or you may not. If you do, it’ll be short lived and not a rainout. read more

Clearing Saturday through Monday

We should have some clearing for the next few days.

We can’t completely rule out any pop-up showers. Some of you may get wet. But we aren’t concerned with any rain-outs or outdoor plan ruiners. read more

Friday through Sunday

Hot and humid with highs in the lower 90s and dew points in the upper 60s and lower 70s. This will allow for heat indexes to climb into the mid and upper 90s.

A few isolated showers and thunderstorms can’t be ruled out Friday through Sunday due to the instability in the atmosphere from the heat and humidity, but we do not expect widespread storms like we saw the past couple of days. The latest run of the NAM3 model shows just a few pop up storms Friday through Sunday: read more

Yesterday was an eventful day weather-wise as storms bubbled up over I-65. They exceeded our expectations both in how many there were and how long they lasted. The expectation was that a few isolated cells would develop in the heat of the day, rain themselves out as the sun began to set, and leave us with a quiet night. Instead, we had numerous storms develop that were very electrically active and dropped some small hail. read more

Wednesday

Notice the H’s near us on the map. High pressure is in control today. This typically puts a lid on the atmosphere’s willingness to storm. While it’s possible the western half of the state could see a brief storm, the odds are against any one place receiving rain. Temperatures will be slightly above average with a forecast high of 91°. There won’t be much of a breeze to provide relief, so take frequent water breaks! read more

Today (Tuesday)

Temperatures will be topping out at 87° for the high, remaining mostly sunny.

No rain today. Any precipitation should stay south this afternoon.

Dewpoint values will be a bit lower as well, so it won’t feel as sticky out there. read more

Are We Clearing Out?

We think so.

Morning rain is sliding out of our area. It used up available storm energy.

Those east of Nashville may see strong/severe storms today, but for us additional afternoon rain and storms appear unlikely. We lack storm fuel and forcing needed for another event. read more

Sunday

NWS-Nashville says:

“During the afternoon, short-range guidance depicts a few hit and miss thunderstorms, but nothing terribly organized. Instability, lapse rates, and moisture will be in place for thunderstorm development…however, low shear and weak mid-level ridging will work to keep storm coverage to a minimum. Any storms that do get going have the potential of becoming strong/severe with damaging winds and hail being the main concerns.” read more