At least twice on the briefing from the brilliant minds at NWS Nashville, I heard something along the lines of “this is a very difficult forecast.” I think that should speak for itself – prepare yourself to embrace uncertainty. You will not come away from this blog knowing exactly what is going to happen, but you will be more prepared.
What We Know:
What We Don’t Know:
This is all the latest information – and can (and will) change. Predicting winter weather around here is hard, especially still ~100 hours out. There is still a good amount of uncertainty with this. Stay connected for the latest info!
Before we get into what you all clicked on this blog for, I do want to briefly address the cold[er than normal] temperatures this week. Lows tonight will bottom out near 14°, and we’ll see similar lows this weekend. Prepare to protect any exposed pipes, bring in the pets, all the cold weather things.
If you hear about any snow chances tonight, we are excluded. It’ll be a Plateau Exclusive event tonight – per usual.
Rain moves in around dinner time (5 or 6p) and stays rain the entire time. In the off chance some flurries mix in towards the very end, they wouldn’t stick – models keep us several degrees above freezing the entire time.
This morning, the Plateau is doing Plateau things – squeezing out some snow showers. For us? Nothing, except maybe a stray flurry or two. Certainly, no impacts.
Next chance of precipitation will be Friday afternoon/evening as we get another clipper system that swings thru.
Temperatures generally around average for this time of year. Tuesday and Thursday being the exceptions, with one day having above-average temperatures, and the other having below average.
Only real shot at some precipitation this week continues to be Wednesday.
If you’ve stepped outside today, you’ll notice a big difference in the temperature compared to the low 70s we got a couple of days ago. The pesky NW breeze isn’t helping anything either.
Some additional drizzle will be possible thru the afternoon today. Clouds are likely to stick around for most, if not all of the day.
A cold front will move thru Sunday morning, marking the beginning of our colder temperatures. The also means some gusts around 20 mph will be common throughout the day tomorrow.
We no longer are outlooked for any severe weather probabilities for today. The question of “will any CAPE (storm fuel) show up?” has been answered – and the answer is no.
We’ll be dry thru this early evening – likely we’ll see some decent sun as well as we try and tie the daily record high of 71° today.
Some of our thinking has changed for this upcoming event, particularly regarding the round of storms arriving early Friday morning.
“Round One” – 3a thru 8a Friday Morning
Now that the high-res models have come into range, it appears that this first round of storms may end up carrying a low-end severe threat.
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