No Drought Buster This Week

Seems just about everyone got a great glimpse of the gorgeous sunset tonight.

Tomorrow we might see some sprinkles.

The HRRR model (above) shows some sprinkle chances tomorrow afternoon and evening. I have my doubts if any rain actually makes it to the ground, we’ll be really dry. At the most, just some sprinkles.

Thursday will be dry before some more rain chances Friday.

Don’t get your hopes up though.

Our rain chances look…minimal. We likely won’t receive more than 0.25″. Good news is your outdoor plans shouldn’t be rained out. Bad news is we need rain.

The weekend looks dry with temps around average.

Eyeing next Monday as a legit potential rainmaker, but we’ll have to wait and see.

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Two Chances* At Some Rain This Week

High temps will run several degrees above average for the work week, not feeling very mid-November like.

Our two “main” chances of rain this week will be Wednesday and Friday.

Wednesday:

  • these chances look very meh for us
  • most, if not all the rain will stay to our south

Friday:

  • if we do see rain this week, this is the most likely day
  • timing still fuzzy, maybe some rain for playoff FNL
  • no severe weather expected
  • will drop the temps a tad for the rest of the weekend

Rainfall totals look to be around 0.25″ the next 7 days. Not the amount we need.

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Change Is Coming…Eventually

The upcoming week will fairly consistent, only “hiccup” will be some rain chances Wednesday thru Friday. I use “hiccup” lightly because we need rain – bad.

Although rain chances exist, it doesn’t look as if it would be much rain.

Day 11 image not available

7 day rainfall totals look like uhhhhh not much.

However.

There is some good news.

Down the road in the 10-14 day range, we see a more favorable pattern for above-average rain which would be superrrr cool.

If you like winter temps, those graphs don’t have the best news for you, but winter will come around eventually.

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Pretty Please Don’t Start A Fire

Low relative humidity + gusty winds + dry ground =

Burn ban in effect for both of our counties. It may be bonfire weather but just subtract the bonfire part.

We are about 8.61″ below our average rainfall for the year. Looking ahead at the next 7 days, it doesn’t look like we’ll be making up much ground.

Day 11 image not available

Best rain chances appear to be Wednesday but doesn’t look like it’ll give us much.

Temps stay around average to slightly above average.

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Back 2 Dry + Cool

Something is better than nothing.

Southern WillCo. was the winner with over an inch of rainfall. Most of us only got 0.2″ – 0.7″. Again, better than nothing.

Not a ton more rain is in the forecast over the next 6 days.

Sunday a shower can’t totally be ruled out but looks like a majority will stay to our south. More chances roll around mid to late week, but it doesn’t look like totals will be very impressive.

Temps stay around where they ought to be this time of the year, we avoid the 30s for now.

Burn ban in both Davidson and Williamson. Don’t end up like this guy:

Video gif. Man calmly vacuums over an area of ground that is on fire in a backyard.

Also IDK if that would be the solution…maybe a fire extinguisher?

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Rain, Rain, Don’t Go Away

Rain has finally made it and will stick around on/off overnight and into the morning.

The HRRR model shows some showers for your AM commute to work/school but ending quickly after. We should be dry by lunch.

Rainfall totals will end up around 0.25″ – 0.5″, not busting the Severe to Extreme Drought we are in but it’s something.

Image

After we’ll be left with a dry and cool weekend, a lot cooler than the 80s we’ve been dealing with. Still no freezing temps in the forecast.

Next rain chances to talk about come up mid to late next week. They don’t look all that impressive right now.

So What No GIF

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Rain! Tomorrow! And! Friday!

It seems we are big on ties, as we have tied the daily record high for today with a high of 83°. Our third straight day of tying, we wouldn’t want to take the glory away from past years.

We won’t see the 80s again for a while, cold front moving thru tomorrow will knock temperatures down to where they ought to be for this time of the, and bring some very, very, much needed rain.

HRRR model (above) advertises some light showers moving thru Thursday morning, but holds the bulk of the rain until after sunset Thursday, steadily continuing overnight, and ending Friday AM.

No severe weather expected, maybe a rumble of thunder tho.

Total rainfall amounts look to be around 0.5″, not going to totally solve our drought situation, but it’ll help.

Models still disagree about our rain chances Saturday + Sunday, although a majority of them keep us dry.

Next week our dry trend continues, doesn’t appear to be any legit rain chances until the end of the week.

The Office No GIF

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Rain + Cooler Temps On The Way

BNA made it to 80° today, tying the daily record high. Wednesday we’ll have another chance to tie/break the daily record high of 83°. Winds gusting up to 20-25mph from the south will help us get warm, and also would help spread fires, so pls don’t burn stuff.

Thursday, we get some good news as a cold front comes in and bring some much-needed rain chances.

The EURO model (above) shows the bulk of the rain moving thru Thursday evening into early Friday morning. Rainfall totals look to be 0.5″ – 1″. This won’t bust up the drought, but it’s something.

No severe weather is expected with this, a rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out for Thursday night tho.

Dry weather looks to return for Friday PM and Saturday. A few models suggest some rain on Sunday, but others disagree, we’ll have to wait and until they talk it over and come to a decision. Temps much more seasonal Friday thru early next week.

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Record Highs + Liquid Falling From The Sky Soon?

As of 4pm, Nashville has tied the daily record high at 79°. Tuesday the record high is 80°, Wednesday it’s 83°, both days we will get close to tying/breaking that record. Is it November or April?

Rain Rumors?

It’s been a while since we’ve gotten any rain. Thursday and Friday we finally get to mention it again.

A cold front will sweep thru and bring us some decent rain, but nothing to bust this drought we got going.

A majority of the 0.5″ – 1″ will fall sometime Thursday night into Friday morning. No severe weather is expected, but a rumble of thunder can’t totally be ruled out. More specific timing deets as we get closer.

The cold front will also knock our temps down, but no freezing temperatures currently in the forecast.

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It Is Extremely Dry

New drought monitor came out today and did not bring good news.

Image

The southern half of WillCo. is now under an Extreme (3/4) Drought, while the rest of us are under a Severe (2/4) Drought. We haven’t experienced an Extreme Drought since 11/29/2016. Very, very little rainfall is to blame, and unfortunately, it looks to get worse before it does better.

Very little, if any rain is expected over the next 7 days.

On the bright side, temperatures are expected to slowly warm this week. High temps will get up into the 70s by Sunday and look to stay in that range for at least a few days; we may even reach 80° by Wednesday.

Next rain chance looks like sometime early to mid next week, but again, these chances look meh.

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