Clouds will be on the increase today in advance of our next weather maker that will begin to move in this evening as an upper level low begins to pass to our north. Expect our afternoon highs to reach the mid-40s as the cloud deck advances from west to east.
High-pressure is working its way into Williamson and Davidson Counties this afternoon. That is evident by the 10-15 mph winds and the clearing skies we are seeing. Afternoon high temperatures will reach the upper 40s. All in all, the only weather impact on your day will the wind, which could gust to 30 mph.
Rain is the story of the day across middle Tennessee as the low-pressure system we have been talking about for the past couple of days makes it’s way through. The center of the low will track right over southern Tennessee today, though rain chances will become limited due to a more northerly track than what was expected.
The forecast high today is 47°.
A few showers were spotted around Nashville this morning, a pre-cursor to what we are expecting this afternoon. Rain will gradually move into Williamson and Davidson Counties from the southwest, encompassing all of the area right around dinner time. Keep an umbrella handy in the meantime. Isolated showers will continue in advance of the main event. HRRR Model illustrates how it may pan out.
You: Can we have bad weather Sunday night? Indy’s a dome team!
Us: Probably not. The game should be pretty comfy actually, maybe some light rain but probably not.
You: How about excellent NYE weather?
Enjoy this calm weather while we have it. Despite clouds hanging around, we’ve managed to reach the upper 50s. After the sun sets, mother nature will be setting the stage for our next weather maker. A surface low-pressure system will move across the Great Plains and into the mid-west, pushing a cold front towards the Nashville area.
The rain is on its way out.
Below is the HRRR’s thinking on today. Notice it has all rain out by 3 PM.
On and off showers will continue through the morning hours and will eventually taper off from west to east as the upper-level low moves north. Additional rain totals could amount up to a quarter inch at most.
Today is still looking mostly dry with a high temp around 61º. The reason our temperature will reach the low 60s today is that our winds have turned more southerly bringing with it two things: warmer temperatures and gulf moisture.
This week is starting dry.
Why dry? We’re dominated by a ridge building across the central United States. Ridges are high pressure, pressing down and suppressing vertical motion key to making it rain.
Outdoor plans are going to be difficult today as a surface low pressure system tracks off to our south. Moisture will become amplified as the afternoon hours progress.
Here is what the HRRR thinks will happen today. Notice the pockets of heavier rain towards sunset; we may hear a rumble of thunder to two. We are not expecting anything in the way of severe weather.
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