In this sense, no news is good news, and this week there is not a lot of news.
Chilly day today, we did not make it to the 40° mark.
Tomorrow we’ll be a bit warmer with high temps in the mid 50s. A quick shower is possible Tuesday evening/night.
Not Much Except Maybe Some Sprinkles Tuesday PM
Chili Nights, Clipper System Tuesday Only Possible Minor Inconvenience This Week
Pretty bland day today. Temps stayed in the low 40s all day. Perfect chili night in my humble opinion.
This will be a common theme throughout the week. Only rain chances to talk about would be maybe Tuesday.
Maybe A Strong Storm This Afternoon, Calm Week Ahead
Some showers currently moving thru, looks like we may get a small break before some more rain and maybe a strong storm?
HRRR model (above) shows an ETA of ~3 or 4 pm for some heavier rain, and maybe some storms. One or two storms could be on the stronger side with some gusty winds. We’ll keep an eye out, stay connected this afternoon.
One More Rainy Day Before A Nice Break
Today ’twas a lovely day for late January, dry and highs got up in the mid 60s.
Unfortunately, this weather cannot last forever, and rain chances return tomorrow.
HRRR model (above) shows three rounds of rain tomorrow:
Dry Friday, Wet Saturday, Then Calmer Weather
We got some more beneficial rain today. Also, new drought monitor came out today.
We are still in a Moderate to Severe drought. Granted, this does not include the rain we received today and yesterday. Hopefully next Thursday we can get a positive update.
More Manageable Rain Thursday + Saturday
We got some decent rainfall today, enough for a good soak, but escaped any flooding worries thankfully.
We’ll continue the trend of receiving manageable rain tomorrow, but with a very low-end chance of a strong storm with some damaging straight-line winds.
Rain Expected to be “Manageable” Throughout the Week
We’ve received a little rain today, not much, but there’s more to come.
- 2 – 3″ of rain is expected thru Saturday
- majority of the rain will fall Wednesday
- we are excluded from the Flood Watch (heaviest rain expected to stay to our south)
- “Areas north of the Flood Watch could see nuisance flooding issues, but the total rainfall amounts over that area are expected to be manageable…” – NWS Nashville
- no severe weather expected, some thunder possible
Timing:
We should remain dry thru the rest of today, maybe a scattered shower or two.
HRRR model (above) shows some rain arriving Wednesday morning, with the bulk of it coming Wednesday afternoon. Some more rain should swing around Thursday morning. Timestamp is in the upper left corner.
“Heat Wave” and Rain – But Maybe Too Much
BNA got all the way up to 47° today, which feels like quite the accomplishment.
Snow melts at different rates at different places, most of it probably melted today, but some stubborn snow/ice could hold on until tomorrow.
Snowmelt Timing & Wet Week Ahead.
Ice remains. It was 5° at BNA overnight. Many local areas colder than that.
Temps above freezing – barely, briefly – this afternoon. Sunlight and light winds will erode but not eliminate ice sheets. Back down to 20° overnight and Monday morning.
About Melting, Rain, & Severe Weather Potential
Most main and secondary roads are OK, but could contain “invisible” black ice in “hard freeze” (T<26°) temps today and Sunday morning. Neighborhood roads, sidewalks and decks remain icy, esp on hills and in shady areas.
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