Current Radar
Before the Storms: Cloudy & Humid
We remain in this pattern of cloudy, unseasonably humid weather. With all this humidity, weather models were picking up on north-moving showers today, but none of that really materialized.
Update on Friday’s Conditional Storm/Rain Situation
Update on Friday Morning Storms
Current Radar
Today the Euro, GFS, and NAM models are showing some isolated showers moving northward throughout the area. We certainly aren’t expecting any big rain. Here’s the HRRR model through tonight:
Not Feeling Very November-ish
Current Radar
This Evening: 67° at 7 PM
‘Muggy and cloudy’ will continue to be the story as we head into the evening.
Models pick up on the aforementioned showers around dinnertime:
Even if these make it to us, we’ll just see some light rain.
Talking About End-of-Workweek Storms
Current Radar
Fog Midnight – 8 AM
NWS-Nashville has issued a Special Weather Statement out of concern for patchy dense fog from midnight to 8 AM. Low level moisture + light/calm winds + temps and dewpoints close together are to blame.
A Few Showers Today, Some Sun Tomorrow
Current Radar
Today – A Few Light Showers & Muggy – High: 71°
We will continue to see overcast skies through lunchtime with a few breaks in the afternoon.
We will see some showers through the day while an upper level shortwave swings over the area and a surface low stationed to the south moves northeast. The bulk of the rain is expected to stay in the eastern parts of Tennessee and northern Georgia.
The Week Ahead
Current Radar
As you can see here via regional radar . . .
. . . rain and storms continue from Texas east to South Carolina.
This storm system will march east, passing south of us tonight and tomorrow. As it does, the rain may nudge north and drip on us.
Mild Start To November
Current Radar
Today – Cloudy & Unseasonably Warm – High 67°
To make rain, the atmosphere needs moisture and lift. Today we have moisture to make clouds, but little lift to produce rain. Rain chances are very low (they’re higher near the TN/AL border), but if we get a little, it will be very light.
Clearing Out In Time Tonight?
Current Radar – behold the rain approaching from our SW
Just an abbreviated post tonight. Spending most of our time on the radar and on Twitter.
Tonight
Radar extrapolation & assumption suggests you should wait until 6:30-7 PM to trick or treat. Rain maybe gone then. pic.twitter.com/piCG4qeHsi
Rain On The Way
Current Radar – behold the rain approaching from our SW
Saturday – Rain Starts Mid-Late Afternoon – High 64°
Two important things to note this morning
First, all that rain is coming in from the southwest. Here’s what the HRRR model expects today from now until 8 PM:
Trick Or Treat Forecast!
Current Radar – behold the rain approaching from our SW
Saturday – Trick or Treat? feat. Rain – Wake Up 46°, High 65°
I wrote this just before 2 PM this afternoon:
Despite what HRRR says, I remain unconvinced the rain will be here before noon tomorrow. I'll feel better about timing tonight.
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