Current Radar
Almost all the rain moved south and east of us overnight. This should continue during the morning.
Clouds should begin breaking up after lunch. That rain currently in southern Arkansas, north Louisiana, and east Texas will be swept south of us and not bother us for the rest of the weekend. The HRRR model animates this well:
Current Radar
We think this bowling-pin-looking area of rain will arrive after dark, staying mostly S of I-40. pic.twitter.com/veqCsYJh7g
— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) November 6, 2015
Current Radar
Said cold front is pushing a line of storms east this evening.
It’ll stay out of our hair for the rest of today, though. Looks like it will be getting close to the Tennessee/Arkansas/Missouri border late tonight:
Current Radar
We remain in this pattern of cloudy, unseasonably humid weather. With all this humidity, weather models were picking up on north-moving showers today, but none of that really materialized.
Current Radar
Today the Euro, GFS, and NAM models are showing some isolated showers moving northward throughout the area. We certainly aren’t expecting any big rain. Here’s the HRRR model through tonight:
Current Radar
‘Muggy and cloudy’ will continue to be the story as we head into the evening.
Models pick up on the aforementioned showers around dinnertime:
Even if these make it to us, we’ll just see some light rain.
Current Radar
NWS-Nashville has issued a Special Weather Statement out of concern for patchy dense fog from midnight to 8 AM. Low level moisture + light/calm winds + temps and dewpoints close together are to blame.
Current Radar
Today – A Few Light Showers & Muggy – High: 71°
We will continue to see overcast skies through lunchtime with a few breaks in the afternoon.
We will see some showers through the day while an upper level shortwave swings over the area and a surface low stationed to the south moves northeast. The bulk of the rain is expected to stay in the eastern parts of Tennessee and northern Georgia.
Current Radar
As you can see here via regional radar . . .
. . . rain and storms continue from Texas east to South Carolina.
This storm system will march east, passing south of us tonight and tomorrow. As it does, the rain may nudge north and drip on us.
Current Radar
To make rain, the atmosphere needs moisture and lift. Today we have moisture to make clouds, but little lift to produce rain. Rain chances are very low (they’re higher near the TN/AL border), but if we get a little, it will be very light.
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