Current Radar
Tonight – Weakening Line of Storms
A cold front pushing storms our way is expected around midnight. HRRR model:

Same thing, zoomed in:

As the line arrives, it’ll be producing crazy-high wind shear:

Current Radar
A cold front pushing storms our way is expected around midnight. HRRR model:

Same thing, zoomed in:

As the line arrives, it’ll be producing crazy-high wind shear:

Current Radar
First I would like to take the time to thank those men and women who have served and are currently serving our country. I hope you all have a wonderful Veterans Day!

We woke up to cool conditions with scattered clouds around our area. There’s a storm system forming out to our west:
Current Radar
We’ll start to cool-down this evening, into the mid 50°s around dinnertime, then to the low 40°s overnight.
Mostly clear skies expected overnight through Wednesday morning.
We are still expecting storms to roll-in very late Wednesday and into Thursday morning.
Current Radar
The bigger system responsible for our showers today will keep lifting away to the northeast by this evening:
This will leave just a small chance for some lingering showers. I don’t expect rain to interfere with any plans tonight.
Current Radar
More rain is coming.

Overnight, the northwest side of an upper-level-low-pressure-made rainer should arrive. Here’s the HRRR’s take:

Whereas this morning we felt like the rain would almost certainly blast us and wash out the entire day, the afternoon model runs have suggested the bulk of the rain may run east of I-65 and give us a shot at playing ball tomorrow night.
Current Radar

Windy though. North windy, therefore, kinda chilly.
Clouds will gather tonight. Ruh-roh.
The opposite of Sunday.

We will wake up to patchy fog, or rain. NAM4 says: a lot of rain:
Current Radar
As dry air arrives, so will cold temperatures. We’ll drop into the 40°s not long after dark, and land somewhere around 41° before dawn Sunday morning.
Even with the sun out, a north wind up to 10 MPH will have it feeling like fall.
Current Radar
Almost all the rain moved south and east of us overnight. This should continue during the morning.
Clouds should begin breaking up after lunch. That rain currently in southern Arkansas, north Louisiana, and east Texas will be swept south of us and not bother us for the rest of the weekend. The HRRR model animates this well:
Current Radar
We think this bowling-pin-looking area of rain will arrive after dark, staying mostly S of I-40. pic.twitter.com/veqCsYJh7g
— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) November 6, 2015
Current Radar
Said cold front is pushing a line of storms east this evening.
It’ll stay out of our hair for the rest of today, though. Looks like it will be getting close to the Tennessee/Arkansas/Missouri border late tonight: