Current Radar
The wind machine remains “on” this evening out of the northwest, 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph. These winds should finally settle down overnight.
Our best rain chances come towards nightfall. Check out the HRRR model below:
Current Radar
We are currently under a Wind Advisory until 7 PM.
Be sure to tie down, or bring inside, any loose objects. The winds could cause them to blow away.
In addition the wind, rain and storms are on the way.
Current Radar
Winds begin to turn out of the southeast tonight, which means a little more warmth and moisture are on the way. This will set us up for rain potential tomorrow.
Lows overnight tonight will be in the mid 40s.
Current Radar
Temps will drop steadily through the rest of the afternoon into the evening. Eventually dropping into the low 40°s to upper 30°s. Winds should remain between 5-15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
Current Radar
We start off nice, but a cold front will bring cloud cover and a slight chance of showers after noon. The rain chance looks very low. The GFS model shows no rain. The pro-rain NAM4 model, below, shows very little:
Current Radar
Caroline and I (Intern 4.0s) are currently attending the Southeast Severe Storms Symposium at Mississippi State University, which runs today through tomorrow. We are learning more about all things weather!
Current Radar
Expect to see more clouds develop through the rest of the afternoon into tonight. Temps will stay in the 50°s until a little after midnight before dropping into the upper 40°s.
Visible Satellite Imagery shows more clouds moving in from our Southeast:
Current Radar
Too much cloud cover this morning, insufficient dew points, and unidirectional wind profiles are among the reasons we didn’t gett tornadic storms today. They were very close. That storm to our SW, then S, was rotating pretty well (it may have dropped a tornado, NWS will confirm later), although it did lose its oomph when it got closer to I-65.
Current Radar
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Davidson and Williamson Counties. Here’s a closer look:
Stay tuned to @NashSevereWx for updates, as well as multiple other sources (like local TV). We will not post warnings on here, so follow us on Twitter for more frequent, up-to-date information.
Current Radar
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a “mesoscale discussion” that borders Davidson and Williamson Counties. Here’s a snippet:
In short, our area will likely be placed under some sort of severe weather watch very soon. Damaging winds are the primary risks, although large hail and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Instability is limited and looks to remain that way for the rest of the day.
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