Up and Down Week, Active Pattern Ensues

Posted on by Brendan Schaper
Current Radar

Rain Returns, A Few Flurries During the Week?

We expect Sunday to be dry until late in the night and early Monday morning…great news for Titans fans, as it will be warmer with temps in the 50s, also! But hold onto your hats — winds will gust as high as 25 mph.

Then a surface low pressure system developing over the upper Midwest will bring us a dose of rainfall to start the week.

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Some rain, according to this latest run of the GFS, could be of moderate intensity at times. This results in higher amounts of rain than previously expected. Now, we’ll be more on the order of 0.50″-1.00″+ of rain for most backyards in Davidson/Williamson counties:

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As the center of this system moves east, another wave of energy is to follow right behind. Light rain showers are possible Monday PM. This activity will quickly move out on Tuesday.

On the latest model runs, this feature doesn’t show up all too well, so most of us probably stay dry Monday night.

As is with that “wave”, another shot at precip in the form of snow flurries overnight Tuesday and overnight Wednesday is possible. Nothing impressive, though.

Up/Down Temps, Keeping A Watch On Next Friday

After a few warmer days in the early week, Wednesday and Thursday will be much cooler (highs in the 30s-40s).

By Friday, strong southerly flow bringing in warm and moisture-filled air looks to encompass the Tennessee valley, in addition to a surface low developing over the Plains. Let’s keep an eye on this system…we know all too well about the “secondary severe weather season” that occurs this time of year.

This could also bring much colder air behind a front and if any precipitation is left over, the end of the event could be wintry.

GFS plays it out like this, but remember that this is a week away and the forecast models will change a bunch between now and then:

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There will be a good bit to monitor this coming week, and we’ll have the latest updates here and on Twitter @NashSevereWx.

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.