Ah yes, the wet weekend we all hoped for continues.
Expect rain this afternoon. Amounts will vary by community. Kinda like last night when those north and east of downtown got heavy rain and a Flash Flood Warning. Most of us, however, got nothing.
We’re off to a hot and humid start this weekend. Dewpoints will climb into the low 70’s as the day goes on. Get your gills ready.
Pop-ups have all the fuel they need today: plenty of warmth and moisture, a front to the north for extra lifting in case they were feeling extra lazy today, and decent instability and shear.
Copy and paste yesterday onto today, because rain chances are down and temperatures are up. It’s looking like it may even be a bit hotter than yesterday with heat index forecasted to reach the mid to upper 90s later this afternoon. Typical muggy, summer day in Tennessee. Not going to be much cloud coverage to keep the sun from beating down on you.
Rain chances are taking a downturn the next couple days. Precipitation will be minimal. Now this doesn’t mean you won’t see any rain at all. But rain events won’t be near as widespread as we’ve been used to recently, and chances of any turning severe are slim to none. HRRR says parts of our area could see typical summer afternoon showers, but most of the action will move east over the Plateau.
Clouds cover the area today with scattered showers and storms continuing to move through. Shear is low so not expecting severe weather to tag along with these. Still be prepared for wind gusts and lightning storms in the mix. Storms and showers should mainly be out of the area by 9pm-10pm, see HRRR below.
The low pressure system stuck in the Mississippi Valley will continue to bring the region stormy weather today. But will you get it? Depends on exactly where you are.
This is one of those days where Joelton, Franklin, and BNA get storms, but no one else. Or Fairview-Bellevue-North Nashville-Skyline-Goodlettsville get stormed. You get the idea.
More than 1″ fell early this morning per MRMS estimates.
More downpours and storms are possible this afternoon and evening. The HRRR sure thinks so:
Lightning, gusty winds, and heavy rain are the hazards with this. Water sports and other outdoor stuff away from enclosed shelters are most vulnerable today. Hail and tornado are not in the forecast, but we think tiny hailstones are possible should an updraft get particularly strong.
Storms crossed to our north this morning and moved out. More storms may boil up later this afternoon or tonight, but the HRRR model doesn’t have much/anything for us through midnight. Possible a lightningstorm will pop up, so don’t leave yourself vulnerable. Keep an eye on things. But we don’t think you should cancel anything.