1″ to 2″ of rain today. Widespread flash flooding not expected. But area creeks, streams usually prone to flooding may be up tonight and Monday morning. *Looks at Mill Creek in Nolensville*
Category: Forecast Blogs (Legacy)
Periods of Sun and Rain Today, Bunches of Rain Tomorrow
Rest of Saturday
Today began with a good misting of rain for many of us.
That rain has pulled out and taken some of the cloud cover with it, but it won’t last long.
Here is a wide angle view of the radar at 12:35pm showing more light showers similar to this morning on our SW doorstep.
This won’t ruin any plans, but it will make the roads wet again, and usher in some cooler temps while it’s overhead. Bring a rain jacket to the honkey tonks tonight.
Sunday Rain/Storm Chances
An upper low will deepen as it swings off the Rockies and through the central part of the country. Southerly surface flow will pick up ahead of this system encouraging temperatures to warm into the mid to upper 60s again on Sunday. PWATS are still running very high for the time of the year. Values of 1.5 inches or higher could be possible through the early morning hours on Sunday to Sunday night. Models have shifted the axis of heaviest precip to the west, over portions of west Tennessee and western Kentucky. However, this axis could easily wobble east or west over the next 24 hours as we see how the system evolves. For now, expect anywhere from 1 to 2 and a half inches of rain in Middle Tennessee.
Mostly Dry Today, A Few Showers Saturday, Washout On Sunday, More Normal Temps Next Week
Friday Sprinkles Possible; Heavier Rain Sat Night thru Sunday
Meh Rain Friday, Heavier Rain Late Saturday - Sunday. Storms Maybe.
GREAT Rest of the Week; Next Rain-Maker Moves in this Weekend
Beautiful Rest of the Week
Tuesday, aka Christmas Eve
Sunny with a high of 70°. In other words…
Christmas Day
Is it really already Christmas? It won’t feel like it though as high temps reach 72°.
… while we won`t have a White Christmas, it`s going to be a warm one. Someone want to call Santa and let him know to wear shorts?
NWS-Nashville Afternoon Discussion, 12/24/19
Thursday
Partly sunny with a high of 70°. I’m loving this.
Clouds Moving Out, Above Average Temps Through Christmas, Weekend Rain Chance
Clouds Push Off, Temps Rise
We’ll start to see more and more of breaks in the clouds as we progress through the mid afternoon. Rain for this afternoon will stay off to our East as it pushes out of the area. Now that the sun’s out, temps have risen quickly. We’re up to a balmy 67° at BNA as of 1:00 pm!
Rain Today, Warming Up Through Christmas Day, Quiet Week Ahead
Rain Chances for the Weekend, Clearing Through Monday
Cloudy and Cool for Today
We have a blanket of clouds over us today. This is out ahead of our next chance at rain.
Clouds should keep our high in the mid 50°s. Rain should keep away for today.
Rain Chances Build Up
This system will mainly keep to our south. Model guidance is shaky for how this moves north. The further north this system tracks, the more rain we are likely to see.
Awesome Today, Awesomeness Tapers Off Through Weekend
Today
Today’s skies are forecasted to clear, with mild temps and more sunshine. I wouldn’t be surprised if we exceed our forecasted high of 51º if these clouds give way.
Overnight low is down to 36º as clouds move back in overnight and trap the heat like a fluffy comforter.
Saturday
Saturday’s temps will be may a few degrees warmer, up to 54º. However, the could that moved in overnight will stick around. Call it mostly cloudy by afternoon. These clouds set the stage for our next chance of rain.
Rain? Model Roulette
Sometime the best models we can use to predict rain have disagreements. Actually, it’s more than sometimes. It’s something we struggle with when doing blogs like this, and something the National Weather Service is dealing with this disagreement today.
Most of the current iterations are giving southern and southeastern Middle TN some showers by Sunday. The problem is, the GFS is dry, the Euro is kinda wet and the NAM is giving all of the mid-state a deluge.