Heat advisory in effect for us today and tomorrow 11am-8pm CDT. What does this mean exactly? Heat indices ranging from 105 up to 109…. pretty miserable. Reason for caution if you’re planning to be outside. Plenty of fluids, shade, and A/C are your best friend. Important to know signs of heat exhaustion/stroke, so please give the graphic below a quick once-over.
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“Yes, it’s going to be hot, but I think tomorrow and Thursday are hotter...” @NWSNashville
First, the rain chances.
The HRRR shows a clear day for us, with maybe a shower or storm popping up in random spots. Mid 90°s temps with a superhumid (for us) airmass — dewpoints in the low 70°s ugggghhh — is plenty of fuel for a pop up storm. Just going to be hard for one to form today. One clue: if it’s storming close enough to us in Kentucky, an outflow boundary will come flying south into town. That could create showers and a few lightningstorms. We’ll watch this and post updates on Twitter.
Low Probability Storms Today, with Low-Likelihood Non-Tornado Severe Probabilities (*updated, severe threat dropped)
Heat index up to 97° this afternoon. Same temps as the weekend but dewpoints over 70° will be to blame for making the humidity worse than it was this weekend.
A system of storms will be going through to our north, which could maybe bring us some pop ups in the afternoon/early evening, but it isn’t looking super likely.
Heat & Humidity Increase
Heat & Humidity Return
Our cooler temps, lower humidity streak is over. Humidity is up today. It’ll stay there for the foreseeable future. Temps return to normal for August.

No Major Rain Threat
There are a few thunderstorms south of us this morning. They’re moving east and won’t bother us. We may see light rain this morning but the bigger rain and storms should be east of us all weekend. Here is the HRRR model showing the weekend:
Rain For Some, Heat For Everyone
Today marks a return to normalcy for August: dewps in the upper 60s and afternoon storms/showers. Highs likely won’t break 90 just yet, but the heat is just getting started.

Rain is back in the forecast today. Model runs are showing activity in the afternoon (see HRRR run below). I say more activity, but we’re not expecting widespread coverage, severe weather, or anything of that nature. Anticipate unpredictable scattered showers/storms here and there, but any action could miss you altogether. Not washout material. Still could delay outdoor festivities.
Clear Day Today, Warming Trend Bringing Rain Later
Nothing but dry and warm today. Rain is practically nonexistent in the most current model runs. Some more cloud coverage later today through tomorrow.

Highs today are just shy of 90 and dewps in the low to mid 60s. Sticky, but pretty low for August. Tomorrow will be similar, but dial up the humidity a bit (dewps in upper 60s). Highs sneak into the low 90s and dewps hang out in the upper 60s for the weekend.
Dry with Temps and Humidity Rising
The weather today is looking very similar to yesterday. Dry, high’s in the upper 80’s, and dew points hovering in the upper 50s so far. HRRR updated and we are no longer having afternoon scattered showers today whoop whoop! Today and tomorrow are staying dry with no storms popping up on the models. Tomorrow dew points will creep up a tiny bit to the low 60’s, temps stay the same.
Pretty Great! Tiny Rain Chance Tomorrow. Weekend: Less Great.
The trend continues! High’s in the upper 80’s today until the weekend. Not expecting any precip today and dew point lingers around 60 woohoo!

Wednesday: Smoke? Rain??
The smoke from the wildfires starts to move out today. Throughout today the yellow line of smoke moves south and out of our counties for a clearer tomorrow shown by HRRR below.