We have been outlooked by the Storm Prediction Center with:
for Wednesday – Thursday morning.
Although this is relatively a very low threat for severe weather, it isn’t zero – so let’s discuss.
Low to mid 70s were common today, and it won’t be the last time we see these temperatures this week.
High temps 20°+ above average will continue to be common throughout the week. Very unusual temps for the beginning of February.
Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow this morning, which means 6 more weeks of winter – or so the rodent thinks.
But looking at the 7 day temp forecast…he seems like a liar.
High temps at least 60° every day, with several days in the low 70s. Monday, Wednesday and Thursday all have the potential to tie/break the daily record highs. No freezing temps in sight.
After today, it’s all warm.
High temperatures will be 20+ degrees above average, getting close to our daily record highs on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday.
Our start to February will feel more like April.
Showers/storms have moved off to our east – leaving us with a dry rest of the weekend.
Relative to the rest of the forecast, Saturday will be cool. However, 53° is still ~5° above average.
Starting Monday thru at least Thursday, we’ll be 20 to 25 degrees above(!) average. This will lead to us getting very close to daily record high temps. February making quite the entrance.
There’s been about half an inch of rain already measured at BNA so far, with more on the way.
HRRR model (above) thinks rain continues on/off throughout the night, tapering off near the AM commute. Not a bad idea to have rain jackets handy in the morning. Can’t totally rule out a rumble of thunder overnight, but it’s unlikely.
Rain is expected to move into the area Thursday morning, some break during parts of the afternoon and evening, then more soaking rain overnight Thursday into early Friday AM. Not expecting any thunderstorms, just rain. Rainfall totals low enough to keep our flooding threat very low, although some low-lying areas could see some ponding.
Most of us reached the upper 50s today, and we’ll continue the warmer trend throughout the week. Highs sticking close to average, if not a little above average.
We get a break from the freezing temps for the foreseeable future – but we certainly aren’t done with the freezing temps. Our average last freeze isn’t until March 8.
We are back to near average temperatures, and we’ll stay there for the remainder of the week – even getting above average several days. We’ll get a break from freezing temps for at least a little bit starting Thursday/Friday.
The Dry Air Monster is eating most of the moisture right now, but it will eventually get full, and we’ll see some showers overnight. HRRR model demonstrates how it might go down.
You might see a few flurries if you wake up early enough Monday morning, but no accumulation is expected. Most of the activity should be outta here by Monday AM commute time. Rainfall totals generally 0.25″ or less.
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