Models continue to indicate that we could be in for some rain Thursday afternoon and evening. While exact timing is still iffy, current guesstimates are not the best news for trick or treating.
The Euro (left) and GFS (right) continue to be quite consistent in agreement with rain in the area during prime trick or treat time.
Models continue to indicate Halloween may be a wet one.
While the week up until Thursday will be dry, a cold front will approach us and bring us our rain chances.
The GFS, Euro, and ICON model continue to be consistent with timing, showing a rainy time for candy getting. While the NAM model thinks maybe the rain holds off just a tad, allowing for some dry trick or treating.
Officially 0.05″ of rain fell at BNA yesterday, other places got closer to an inch of rain. Most didn’t get a ton, but at least it’s something.
Our second rain chance this month will of course fall on Halloween, potentially putting a damper on trick or treating.
Daily record high of 84° at BNA was broken today – we got all the way up to 87°. Late October or May? A strong SW wind has helped really get those temps up today – gusting to 20 mph at times. Winds should relax as we get closer to sunset.
Before the cold front, record high temps will be possible on Friday. The daily record high is 84° and the current forecast is 86° – nearly 20° above average for this time of year.
Winds could get a little breezy Friday afternoon and evening, with gusts up to 20mph.
Still our only rain chance in the next 7 days is the potential for a sprinkle, maybe a quick shower Friday night thru Saturday morning.
“NBM has a slight chance pop for Friday night in our northern counties, but a shower appears possible area wide Friday night into Saturday per GFS/ECMWF.” – NWS Nashville AFD
Today is the 23rd consecutive day of no rain. That is no good.
The only chance of rain in the next week, and it’s not very promising, is Friday night into Saturday morning.
And by chance of rain, the current probability of seeing any measurable rainfall is ~10%. The odds are certainly against us, and at most it would be a quick sprinkle. Nothing of significance.
Seasonally warm temperatures expected throughout the week, with several days getting into the low 80s.
Still really no rain chances to talk about. The GFS and Euro ensembles think any rain chances hold off until late October/early November.
More of the same, warm afternoons, cool mornings. No rain. Boring weather is good!
We are at 3 weeks of dry weather, and while we could see a sprinkle on Wednesday, but likely not.
“No significant chance for rain is on the horizon until possibly Halloween or the first of November…” – NWS Nashville
Forecast is basically unchanged from yesterday. Warm afternoons, cool mornings and dry this weekend. Very Fall-like.
Mon – Wed will be a tad warm with high temps around 80°. Maybe a sprinkle Wednesday night as a cold front pushes thru our area, but likely nothing except a drop in temps.
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