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Elan

Wind Advisory and Flood Watch from 7pm Tonight – 7am Saturday, Heavy Rain + Strong Winds Expected from Helene

Summary:

  • A Wind Advisory and Flood Watch will go into effect tonight at 7p and go thru 7a Saturday
  • Wind gusts up to up to 40 mph will be possible, strongest winds most likely Friday afternoon & evening
  • Rainfall totals from tonight – Saturday, likely in the 2-4″ range – maybe less, maybe more
  • Heaviest rain expected tonight – midday Friday, localized flooding possible, no widespread issues expected
  • No tornado concerns, lightning unlikely
  • We have no clue if your flight will be delayed/canceled

A rough timeline (!that could change!)

  • This evening: rain begins, increasing in coverage and intensity
  • Overnight tonight: fairly consistent rain, heavy at times
  • Friday AM: heavier rain continues, winds will likely start to pick up
  • Friday midday: on/off heavy rain continues, 30-40mph wind gusts possible
  • Friday evening: the rain begins to lighten up, 30-35mph wind gusts still possible
  • Saturday: scattered showers possible throughout the day, winds will let up

Now for the deets.

Latest HRRR model expects rain to begin tonight around 6p, +/- an hour or so.

A steady, consistent rain will continue throughout overnight and continue into Friday. read more

Lingering Showers + Storms Thru This Evening, Heavy Rain Potential from Helene Later This Week

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be in effect until 8pm tonight.

  • scattered damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph possible
  • isolated large hail
  • a “tornado or two” is also possible inside the entire watch area – I think that threat is mainly north of us

We’ll be covering this on X/IG. If either part of our county is included in a warning, we’ll go live on our YouTube channel. You can always view the radar on our website by using this link. Lightning + heavy rain will also be possible with any storm – could lead to some rainouts, depending on where the heaviest rain falls. read more

Strong Storms Possible Today and Tuesday, Lots of Uncertainty with PTC9

Some showers and storms are possible today, chances are higher along and N of I-40, but anywhere in our two counties could see some rain today.

One or two storms could briefly reach severe limits with damaging straight-line winds and maybe some small hail, no tornado concerns. The Storm Prediction Center has both our counties outlooked with a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds and/or hail within 25 miles. read more

Very Low Chance of a Shower This Weekend

Above-average temperatures will continue thru the weekend, getting back to around average by the middle of next week.

The transition of seasons never goes smoothly around here.

Some of the CAMs have introduced a very low chance of a stray shower passing this weekend, most likely in the afternoon and evening. I see no need to alter any outdoor plans, but just more of a heads up – majority of us will stay dry and hot. read more