Maybe a few sprinkles this evening, but nothing more. A little chill as the sun goes down as temps will make it down to around 50° tonight.
Maybe a stray shower or two Saturday morning, but that’ll be it as we are left with a dry rest of the day. Highs only making it to the mid 60s.
Sunday is the coolest day of the upcoming forecast, with some light rain possible in the morning. Doesn’t look like a rainout tho.
HRRR model (above) shows some light, NBD showers quickly moving in and out early Sunday morning.
Monday will be a nice sunny start to the week with highs in the upper 60s.
"A weak front will bring a small chance
for showers late Tuesday and Tuesday night. The next significant
rain chance will come late in the week. It looks like an active,
stormy pattern may form for next weekend." - NWS Nashville AFD
A couple of storms have popped up to our southwest as expected and will continue to throughout the evening. These storms could contain heavy rain, lightning, gusty winds and small hail.
The HRRR model above advertises those evening storms coming from the SW, and then a line of weakening showers/storms coming thru in the early hours of Friday morning. Model guidance has been pretty consistent with thinking this line weakens a lot before it arrives, but still could contain some strong winds, small hail, and lightning. The tornado threat is very low, but it isn’t zero.
Another very warm day is in store Thursday, high temperature expected to end up around 86°. Record high at BNA is 88°, could get close to at least tying.
Thursday evening into the overnight hours, a line of storms with heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds are expected drop down I-24, therefore nicknamed an “I-24 Special”, although it is debatable if they are actually special.
Monday looks like a great, dry spring-like day. High temperatures getting all the way into the mid 80s.
Tuesday still looks warm, but a few showers may swing around during the morning and evening hours.
There could be a few storms Tuesday night as a weakening line of storm approaches the area, but no severe concerns for our area.
That line of showers/storms should be moving out by rush hour Wednesday AM, but we could be dealing with more storm chances later in the day.
The Storm Prediction Center has included the far northern portion of Davidson Co. in a 15% chance of severe storms within 25 miles for Wednesday. This is still several days out, so a lot will change between now and then.
"Uncertainty continues on how strong or
widespread this activity may get as the upper level low weakens
while moving even further northward away from us, taking the main
upper forcing with it. Nevertheless, forecast soundings continue
to show quite favorable parameters for some strong to severe
thunderstorms ahead of the front, especially across our northwest
half, so we will have to keep a close eye on this potential." - NWS Nashville
