🎵”Loud thunder, heavy rainnnn”🎵 is what awoke my dog this morning, which means it was also time for me to get up.
There’s a brief break before another round of on/off rain/storms move through. Lightning is possible with this as well. HRRR model (below) does a pretty good job of showing it, timestamp in the upper left. No severe weather concerns.
None of the models picked up on the chance of rain this morning. Nevertheless, some of us are getting rain. A great reminder that models are farrrr away from perfect.
HRRR model shows additional showers/storms popping up around lunch and continuing through the afternoon. No severe weather is expected, but lightning, gusty winds and small hail are possible.
Pretty solid HUMPPPP day (shoutout Lelan). It’ll be quite warm, but should stay dry, until maybe tonight.
HRRR shows a band of showers/storms approaching tonight from the SW. Looks like it will almost completely collapse before it gets here. Maybe just some showers. Might have a cool light show if you look to the southwest though. Maybe you are outside, chatting with a friend, they hit you with the “oh look, heat lightning!” This is when you swoop in, like an eagle, and impress them with your vast knowledge. “Nonono, there is actually no such thing as ‘heat lightning’, it’s just lightning from a storm far away!” They’ll probably respond with “lol ok nerd” but just know deep down inside they are impressed.
Sometimes the weather model trends are bad, sometimes they are good. Today they are good.
Yesterday the HRRR showed a pretty wet Saturday. That wasn’t cool. Today (above) it has changed its mind and thinks we get away with a fairly dry Saturday, maybe a quicker shower or two this afternoon. That’s cool.
HRRR model thinks some pop-up rain showers could impact us this afternoon. It doesn’t look like much; you may not get any rain. If you do get any rain, it’ll be like lightly stubbing your toe. The pain(rain) will come and go quick, you’ll think to yourself “wow, that’s annoying” and then your day goes on.
Some showers moving through this morning, they’ll continue on/off thru tonight. Best chance of heavier rain with a storm or two looks to be this evening and tonight, as shown by the HRRR model below. I do not know if your outdoor rolly ball sports will get rained out, but it doesn’t look too promising.
Some rain moved to our S this morning, the dry air monster was hungry, so we stayed dry. We’ll continue this dry trend all day until some showers move in this afternoon/evening. The D.A.M will get full and let a few showers pass through, won’t amount to much. Outdoor rolly ball sports may be good to go.
Temps are quickly recovering from the mid 30’s, we’ll end up somewhere around 63° for a high temp today. An abundance of sun will hopefully make it feel not as cool.
Low temps tonight will dip back down into the upper 30’s. Some cloud cover should prevent frost, but it also wouldn’t hurt just to keep them covered up.
