Most of the thinking regarding tonight’s relatively low chance for a strong to severe storm remains the same, however the main timeframe for severe weather has changed.
Our timeframe for strong to severe storms looks to be 5p – 2a.
Not much has changed from yesterday. Here’s the current thinking:
For Saturday, we are still outlooked with:
– a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds and/or severe hail within 25 miles
– a 5% chance of flash flooding within 25 miles
First, a line of heavier showers is expected to move thru the area Friday morning. No severe weather expected, just some rain.
HRRR model gives a guess below:
Majority of the rain should be gone by noon. Maybe a stray shower in the afternoon/evening, but majority of plans should be dry.
Merry Christmas! It’s not a White Christmas, but it does feel real nice outside.
Our average high for Christmas Day is 47°, we’ll get all the way up to near 60° today. Great weather to try out any new toys, as long as it isn’t a sled. No rain expected today.
Santa should have no problem delivering gifts tonight, light winds, partly cloudy skies – the red nose won’t need to guide any sleigh tonight.
Christmas Day looks nice weather-wise. High temps near 60°, can’t totally rule out a quick shower – but the overwhelming majority of us will likely stay dry.
Models have been trending drier for Christmas Eve + Christmas Day.
The NWS Blend of Models shows relatively low chances (>20%) of any measurable rainfall during both days.
Won’t be surprised if a few of us see a quick shower, but certainly not a washout either day. Good weather to try out those new toys.
Temps gradually warming throughout the week, getting above average by mid-week.
Showers possible Christmas Eve + Christmas Day, with rain chances continuing thru the rest of the week.
– A few showers possible Christmas Eve, but a little more likely on Christmas Day
Some of us could see a few inconsequential flurries tonight. No accumulation expected for the vast majority, maybe a dusting on elevated surfaces – but certainly no travel issues expected.
Besides that, a dry but cold weekend ahead. Highs only in the low to mid 40s Saturday and Sunday.
New data is always arriving which means the forecast is pretty much always changing in some sort of fashion. This is no big change, but I suppose something to note!
There is a relatively low probability that we could see some flurries Friday evening and into the overnight hours.
The rain is outta here and cooler air is moving on in.
Dry + cool will be the theme for the rest of the week, even continuing into the beginning of next week.
Our average high temps for this time of year is upper 40s, with a low around 30° – so we’ll be around average to a lil’ below average.
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