Last night, we were talking about storms in Missouri which were forming along a cold front. That cold front is still working its way towards us, and the question was whether those storms being pushed in our direction by the cold front would dissipate by the time they arrived here late this morning.
Today’s Rain, Storm Chances
Everyone was watching me and I’m like, “I don’t know.”
The current radar displays (rather poorly) . . .
. . . an active weather system in Missouri. This is the enemy.
The latest run of the Euro model drops about a quarter inch of rain on us between 1 PM and 7 PM. Licensing agreements won’t allow us to post the image here.
Rain Likely Tomorrow
Today – Typical Summer Pattern – High 92
Today will be much like yesterday. We will be hot and humid, with a slight chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon. The bulk of the activity will stay east of I-65, but a few brief garden variety thunderstorms are possible.
Increasing Rain Chances
Today – Typical Summer Pattern – High 93
It’ll be hot today, with another “maybe but probably not” chance of afternoon rain/thunderstorms.
A bad hair day warning has been issued.
Rain Chances Rest of the Week
August 2014 in Review
For the month, we were 0.9 degrees warmer than normal. We were over 90 for 19 days. We got as high as 97 (August 6) and as low as 59 (August 14).
We got 5.47″ of rain, which is 2.3″ more than normal.
Thunderstorms Likely Today
Current Radar
Current Official Temp (taken at :53 every hour)
Today – Afternoon Thunderstorms Likely– High 89
A (shortwave) disturbance is quickly advancing towards Middle Tennessee from the Great Plains. The National Weather Service has its ETA at or just after 1 PM. The HRRR is also putting the showers and thunderstorms in Nashville around noon.
Rain Likely Tuesday Afternoon
Current Official Temp (taken at :53 every hour)
Current Radar
Tuesday
A shortwave will increase our chance for showers and thunderstorms late tonight and early Tuesday. Scattered/numerous afternoon thunderstorms are expected across Middle Tennessee, which will be more likely N of I-40 than S of I-40.
Two Pool GIFs
Labor Day is expected to be rain free. One model (HRRR) predicts a mid-afternoon shower, but don’t let that dissuade you from your outdoor plans.
Enjoy your day off from the US Dept of Defense, or possibly the Chinese People’s Liberation Army.
Rain Winding Down; Flash Flood Watch Until 1 PM
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Weekend Rain Details
Water vapor imagery (dark means dry, white means wet) depicts the rainmaker messing up our weekend:
This morning, light rain was working itself into Middle TN from the SW. The heaviest rain will pass to our West, but we should still see a few light showers before noon. Morning activities shouldn’t be ruined. As of 9 AM, I didn’t see any lightning in the approaching morning showers.