Benign is good, y ‘all.
Here we are smack in the middle of what has been a very active spring severe storm season. But it looks like we’re taking a break from that this week.
“Remarkably Benign.”
Calm, Warming Pattern, Few Showers Through the Week
Warmer Next Few Days, Calm Pattern
NWS Nashville made a great point this morning:
“This is a remarkably uneventful forecast for April, with no severe storms or other significant wx through the next 7 days. After today, temperatures will be 5-10 degrees above normal each day.”
Freeze Warning in Effect Tonight into Early Tomorrow, Sunny Skies Through the Weekend
Clear Skies Tonight, Freeze Warning Overnight
Once the sun goes down tonight, our temps will cool off rapidly. If you plan to be outside at any point tonight, you are going to want/need a jacket.
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Noticeably Windy, Chilly, and Showery
Windy! Wind Advisory Until 10PM
…WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING…
* TIMING…through 10 pm CDT this evening
* WINDS…sustained breezy winds of 15 to 25 mph…with gusts of 40 to 45 mph possible
Scattered Showers Overnight into the Morning Hours Tomorrow
The Tornado Watch For Our Area Has Been Cancelled. For the Rest of the Evening…
We have been removed from the tornado watch, and essentially all of the storms have run off to our east. While we still can not rule out a shower or two through the evening, we should not see any type of severe weather.
Tornado Watch Through 9 PM Tonight. Wind Advisory Through 7 AM Tomorrow.
A tornado watch has been issued for both Davidson and Williamson Counties until 9 PM tonight.
Below is a detailed discussion about the watch issuance:
A detailed breakdown of the severe weather probabilities is listed below.
Biggest Threat Shifting Bit Further East, But Don’t Ignore It! ETA 2-6 PM.
Severe weather is possible today, although the risk seems to be shifting further east.
A higher risk to the east doesn’t mean you should ignore the risk here. Risk area may be wrong. Storms don’t care where we draw these lines.
Low Probability, High Impact (Winds, Hail, maybe a Tornado) Threat Tomorrow
Storms are brewing tomorrow. They could be significant, damaging storms, but the forecast has uncertainties.
For a detailed breakdown from Charlie Neese, watch the Periscope he did at 8:30 PM tonight.
Rising Concern Over Wednesday’s Severe Weather Potential
The lunchtime update from the Storm Prediction Center said the word “outbreak.” That’s not good. SPC mostly refers to the area to our south and southeast, and although our risk here isn’t as high as it is elsewhere, it still poses a very real, but conditional and uncertain, threat. Another update is not due from the SPC until after we go to bed
Severe Threat Has Shifted a Bit West (uh-oh); Yet Big Uncertainties Remain.
We will approach 80° today as southern winds pump warm, moist air into Middle Tennessee.
Storms are brewing tomorrow. They could be significant, damaging storms, but the forecast has uncertainties.
Rising Concern Over Wednesday’s Severe Weather Potential
The lunchtime update from the Storm Prediction Center said the word “outbreak.” That’s not good. Mostly, their “outbreak” reference refers to the area to our south and southeast, but they are not discounting that here.
Severe Weather Possible Wednesday
Update: Will requested more cowbell in this blog post, so.
As Phil Collins Would Sing…
“…I can feel it comin’ in the air tonight…”
One more day of calm, warm weather before another severe storm maker rolls through the southeast. Today you may notice a slight breeze from the south. This is Mother Nature getting to work on hotter temps and more moisture for our area.
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