The river is expected to remain at the same level or barely recede by the weekend. If you come across a flooded road, turn around don’t drown.
Ingredients are coming into play for multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy rainfall and severe potential, today through the weekend.
We do still have a flood advisory out for parts of Davidson County near the Stones River.
The river is declining; however, it still remains above the threshold for a flood advisory. If you do come across a flooded road, turn around don’t drown.
A flood advisory has been extended for the Stones River, but the good news is that the river stage level is falling:
If you run across areas like Lebanon Road, do not attempt to drive through any amount of water. Turn around, don’t drown.
Officially, Nashville received 4.47″ of rain. That is a lot. For radar estimated rainfall across the area, refer to the graphic below.
There is still one flood advisory out for Davidson County concerning the Stones River.
To start, we saw A LOT of rainfall between Friday and Saturday.
Rainfall totals from @NWSNashville ^wm pic.twitter.com/bTvvGDamBM
— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) April 23, 2017
The worst of the rain/storms is gone, but…
A few active flood warnings/advisories are in effect, across the Davidson/Williamson County areas. These are attributed to heavy rainfall causing stream and river rises that could run over into low-lying areas. We’ve already seen evidence of flooding in many spots!
Current radar imagery has showers and some non-severe thunderstorms moving across the entire Middle Tennessee area. These storms, for Davidson and Williamson county so far, have been non-severe. The severe weather threat, however, is still not ruled out.
Update: The latest run of the HRRR Model isn’t picking up all too well on showers/storms currently moving into middle Tennessee, headed our way. In short, let’s keep an eye on radar as a chance for rain may increase in the next few hours. If the activity holds together, it will impact Nashville proper during the start of the PM commute (4:00-4:30PM).
Showers have begun to pop-up across the Middle Tennessee region. If you have any afternoon or early evening plans, you may want to keep the umbrella handy just in case.
Luckily, any thunderstorms we see today should be weaker than those we saw yesterday. Nonetheless, there is always the possibility of damaging winds and small hail with these afternoon thunderstorms. I will also mention that localized flooding could become an issue for areas that have already received a lot of rain this week.
GFS Model Loop Through Monday
Of course, this model run alone is not Gospel. However, an active pattern with intermixed dry periods are expected over the next 7 days.
Wednesday and Thursday will be predominantly dry with temperatures into the 80s. A frontal boundary will approach the area Friday, increasing our chances for storms. By Saturday evening, a decent amount of instability and shear will be present to set off thunderstorms along a well-formed cold front. No official concerns of severe weather are warranted yet, but this could very well change as the event approaches.
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