Flood Advisory Extension, Beautiful Day In Store

A flood advisory has been extended for the Stones River, but the good news is that the river stage level is falling:

If you run across areas like Lebanon Road, do not attempt to drive through any amount of water. Turn around, don’t drown.

Rain/Storms Possible Early Thursday AM

GFS Model 7AM Thursday 

No severe weather is expected at this time. However, any more rain could inflame the local streams and rivers. These showers and storms, if they hold together before they reach us, should scoot through sometime Thursday morning. This may make for a messy work and school commute.

Active Weather Pattern, Watching Severe Weather Potential Friday

Ingredients, via most weather models, are beginning to come into agreement that a heavy rain and severe weather threat could develop for us on Friday. A “juicy” atmosphere (2000 J/kg CAPE or “storm food”) will provide sufficient moisture and instability for strong thunderstorms. The main uncertainty revolves around what will be the forcing mechanism that actually gets storms going. For now, let’s keep a watchful eye on this.

Day 4 (Friday) Severe Weather Outlook

More Storm Chances This Weekend

GFS Loop Through Early Next Monday

The weekend isn’t a washout, but it isn’t all dry either. Running in the Rock ‘n’ Roll Nashville Marathon? We can’t totally rule out showers on Saturday morning. This could change, and hopefully will remain dry for much of the race. A better breakdown on timing these rain chances will come in future blog posts.

Sunday especially, we’ll need to watch for heavy rainfall and some severe storms, too.

5-Day Pollen.com Forecast