Low 90s with low 70s dewpoints won’t change anytime soon. Heat index will run into the upper 90s each day.
This morning we are looking at sunny skies with a few clouds. But as we develop into the afternoon, a few small rain showers, and thunderstorms are possible.
Yet another warm and humid day for us with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms developing in the early afternoon.
While severe weather is unlikely, any storm may throw a tantrum and necessitate a brief warning. But, the most likely scenario is that storms will produce some gusty winds, lightning and heavy rainfall…general summer-time thunderstorms.
Looking to be another hot and muggy day. Dew points will reach as high as 72°, which will help the heat index climb up to 96°.
Those high dew point values don’t only help the heat index: they also help to fuel those scattered showers and storms we’ve been seeing.
Storms are Likely Today, Maybe in Your Backyard
Storms should start forming once we hit 91°, which we’ll do shortly after lunch.
Storm Timing
The HRRR model predicts rain and storms bubbling up in Middle Tennessee starting around 2 PM. This should continue through the afternoon into the early evening. Storms should start to fizzle out around sunset and completely clear the area by midnight tonight. Here is where the HRRR predicts the storms’ general whereabouts this afternoon:
On behalf of us here at NashSevereWX, we want to wish you a safe and happy Holiday Weekend!
A gorgeous 4th of July is in store for us today, with temperatures in the mid 90s and NO RAIN!
Humid, humid, and more humid weather for Independence Day.
Independence Day Eve (Today)
Right now we are looking at mostly sunny skies which will continue throughout the rest of the day with temperatures continuing to rise into the low 90s.
A thunderstorm is possible in south western Middle Tennessee as the graphic shows, but the Nashville area is in the clear.
We’re finally getting a break from the rain!
Skies should be partly sunny today with rain chances staying mainly to our south. We can’t rule out a stray shower or storm rolling into your backyard, but for the most part we should stay dry.
Scattered Showers will Continue Throughout the Day, But Will We Get Any?
Storm Threats
We are not included in the SPC outlook regions for tornadoes, wind, or hail. The biggest threats with any storms we will receive today are lightning and downpours.
A line of thunderstorms is making its way across the state this morning. Upwards of an inch has already fallen, sparking the National Weather Service to put out a flood advisory for Nashville.
Some stronger storms will be arriving later this afternoon into the evening hours. Some could form as early as 2 pm, but they look to be coming through around 4. They should be leaving the area by midnight tonight.
Partly Cloudy skies for today developing our next round of possible showers and thunderstorms late tonight into tomorrow morning.
We could see a pop up shower develop in the area after 1 PM, but most of the activity increases before midnight.
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