Calm Weather Today and Most of Tomorrow; Severe Weather Possible NYE and NYD

No rain for us today. We got that out of our system yesterday. There is plenty more on the way though. Let’s talk about that.

New Year’s Eve looks dry for the most part, until we get to the evening. This is probably preferred on any day of the year except NYE. The weather wants to party, too. read more

NYE & NYD Storm Events, Then We Get Very Cold

The warm front never got here today. This eliminated the severe weather threat. Thursday will be quiet. Most of the day Friday should be quiet. Next event incoming Friday night. Let’s talk about it. It’s kinda meh, maybe. read more

Severe Storms Possible Today + Starting Off The New Year With Severe Weather?

SPC places a greater severe weather chance south of I-40. The majority of our counties are still included in the slight risk category for today’s severe thunderstorms.

The main threat is damaging straight line winds (60+ mph) with a 5% chance of damaging winds/gusts within 25 miles of you. A tornado can’t be ruled out in this situation with a 5% probability of a tornado within 25 miles of you. Small hail is possible with a 5% chance of hail with a diameter of 1 inch or greater within 25 miles of you. read more

Wednesday’s Severe Weather Potential, An Update, Presented With Hope, But Without Agenda (mostly?)

If you’re just going to look at one thing then look at this:

It’s true I like to write and much of this blog is indulgent but I think it has good information in it so maybe keep reading until the next commercial, your video ends, someone texts you, it won’t take long. read more

Severe Weather Possible Wednesday, Saturday, and About the Rumors of Sunday Snow

It’s windy, and there may be showers around today, tonight, and in the morning:

NWS discussion for this afternoon

Strong to severe storms are possible Wednesday afternoon and/or evening. Since yesterday, our area’s been upgraded to a slight risk of severe weather by the Storm Prediction Center. read more

Wet Week Ahead + Severe Wx Potential

Highs are running 20-25 degrees above normal this week. Rain is possible every day, most likely Wednesday and Saturday. Those are the days we are concerned about.

Below shows Monday and Tuesday, no worries about it. read more

I Wrote This About Wednesday and NYE/NYD and then a Weather Phenomena That The Editor Bleeped

Below the HRRR model shows rain off and on through Tuesday night, not much, mostly Monday night and Tuesday, no washout.

Then Wednesday even more rain as seen by the Euro model below.

Now this may be a washout. Perhaps even thunderstorms but the severe threat is more likely well south of us as depicted by SPC: read more

Rain on the Way

No rain today.

Rain chances increase Monday and Tuesday. HRRR shows spotty showers Monday afternoon and evening. Looks like on & off rain rather than a steady one. Nothing to worry about.

Tuesday’s rain chances look better, especially Tuesday night. Our first weather maker of the week will bring more steady rain Tuesday night into Wednesday. See HRRR below: read more

Watching - But Not Worrying About - Wednesday

Winds will calm down this afternoon and tonight. 76° today would be the record high for Christmas, set 5 years ago.

Few raindrops may cross by tonight. Inconsequential. Alter no plans. HRRR model:

Monday and Tuesday may bring showers. Models think just rain, off and on, more Tuesday than Monday. Nothing to worry about either day. read more

Windy, & About Those Rumors of Bad Weather Next Week

Hello, dear reader, Merry Christmas Eve. My father is in the other room, appalled while watching The Office for the first time, comedy is occurring here.

But first.

Did you spend Eighty Thousand Dollars on a Christmas vehicle? Big red bow on it? Got plans for a cheesy reveal featuring your perfect teethed fam? And you hatched and executed said plan without saying anything to your spouse about it? Well if you have that thing parked for the Big Reveal near a roof sheltering children, the wind is coming for you my friend, strong enough to blow four of Santa’s reindeer and the front right side of his sled through its rear window, windblown by an act of justice, comedy, or tragedy, and a moment of introspection surely awaits. read more