Tonight
A surface cold front has already passed through Middle Tennessee, opening the door to cooler and drier air for tomorrow. However, there’s still enough low level moisture hanging around to pop up a shower or two early tonight. Be aware, but don’t alter any outdoor or overnight plans. Have an umbrella handy.
Today – Showers Late – High 88
Clouds will be increasing this evening as a weak cold front approaches. It’ll rain, mostly while we sleep (or while a few of you party). Our NWS estimates 0.05″, which isn’t enough rain to mess anything up.
Today – Pleasant – High 85
Grab some watermelon. Definitely the best day this week, and arguably this month.
Friday – Still Unseasonably Cool, Sunny – High 86
7 am 65 . 10 am 77 . 1 pm 84 . 4 pm 86 . 7 pm 83 . 10 pm 75
Rest of Today – Cooling; Showers Possible – High 87
A cool front passed by today, setting off a few light showers and reinforcing the good weather we expect Thursday and Friday.
(Editor’s Note: Will and I not pictured. Not comment about The Intern).
Our NWS forecasts a storm-making frontal boundary will sink south tonight, setting off a cluster of storms around midnight. The HRRR model (not shown, because there is nothing to show) isn’t much of a believer – it thinks it’ll barely rain overnight. The RAP doesn’t predict heavy showers/storms, either. It’s unlikely these storms will be strong or severe.
New model runs and a Storm Prediction Center update are in.
Storms are moving NW-to-SE today. The morning showers which moved south of I-40 are long gone, and there’s not much on the radar to our NW to cause any rain-out/washout concerns for outdoor plans later this afternoon and tonight.
Today – Thunderstorms Possible Very Late – High 75
The airport picked up almost a half inch of rain today. Rain and cloud cover conspired to keep us cool, but it was not cool enough to break the record for lowest high temperature: 68 set back in 1970.
Today – Scattered Thunderstorms – High 88
Today we were set up for widespread afternoon pop up thunderstorms, and that’s what happened.
Afternoon showers should diminish after sunset, only to be followed by another complex of storms to move in from the west. In-storm updates can be found on Twitter @NashSevereWx.
First, another appropriate use of summer:
Tonight
We should be rain-free for most of the day. Rain and a few thunderstorms are forming along the Ohio River. HRRR at 8 p.m. tonight:
Those Ohio River storms will come south through Kentucky later tonight, arriving here around 11 p.m.:
Saturday morning looks OK rain-wise, but Saturday night and Sunday look wet. Below, we review the entire weekend, model-by-model.
(Note: these are weather models, subject to error and revision. As we always say, use them for guidance, not Gospel. Also, read more than one).